214
FXUS64 KBRO 170325
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1025 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1006 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE RULE THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD, WITH AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE. THIS WILL BE DUE
TO GENERALLY ROBUST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INTERACTING WITH
DAYTIME HEATING, THE EAST-TO-WEST MIGRATION OF THE DAYTIME
SEABREEZE BOUNDARY, AND A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES THAT WILL "RIDGE
RIDE" 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED MORE OR LESS OVER NORTHWEST
MEXICO.
TEMPERATURE-WISE, THE DAILY THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER, WILL HAVE A DAMPENING
EFFECT, WITH VALUES MORE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FINALLY, WITH CONTINUED SLIGHTLY ELEVATED SEAS, A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY FOR THE BEACHES ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
VFR WILL PREVAIL AT THE AERODROMES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TEMPO HAS BEEN INCLUDED FOR WEDNESDAY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
SHOWERS, AND IS BASED ON THE HRRR MODEL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1006 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
ELONGATED SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF AMERICA
WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE FOR THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST FOR THE PERIOD. GENERALLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE
FORECAST, WITH SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY NOT LIKELY TO BE NEEDED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 77 91 76 91 / 60 60 60 70
HARLINGEN 72 91 73 92 / 40 50 40 60
MCALLEN 76 94 76 95 / 20 50 30 50
RIO GRANDE CITY 72 95 73 96 / 10 40 20 40
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 86 80 87 / 70 70 70 60
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 75 89 76 89 / 60 60 50 60
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM/AVIATION...TOMASELLI-66
UPPER AIR...ELLZEY-60
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