475
FXUS64 KBRO 081724
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1224 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1214 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
* LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COASTAL BEACHES INTO NEXT WEEK.
* MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AND
DIMINISH THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
* SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE BAY AND OFFSHORE
GULF WATERS INTO FRIDAY, WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS OFFSHORE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
ABUNDANT MOISTURE HAS ARRIVED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH PWAT
VALUES TOPPING 2.3 INCHES THIS MORNING AT BRO. COVERAGE HAS REMAIN
SCATTERED SO FAR AND ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE ALONG AT A
DECENT CLIP, LIMITING ANY LOCALIZED FLOODING, BUT RAINFALL RATES
HAVE BEEN ROBUST. CAMS HAVE BACKED DOWN ON DEVELOPMENT WITH THE
SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT HAVE STUCK WITH NBM POPS AT THIS
TIME, WITH THE RADAR STILL SHOWING ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY WORKING
ONSHORE. RAIN CHANCES IN GENERAL WORK WESTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON, REPEAT TOMORROW, AND DIMINISH INTO FRIDAY. BY THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE AND FAIRLY SEASONAL CONDITIONS
INTO MID OCTOBER.
LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH A LONG PERIOD SWELL
PERSISTING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES REMAIN ELEVATED INTO TUESDAY, WHICH
COULD NARROW BEACHES AT HIGH TIDE CYCLES. A COASTAL FLOOD
STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHTLY HIGHER
SURF.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN ANY HEAVY
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. AN EASTERLY BREEZE
ARRIVES THIS AFTERNOON, GUSTING TO AROUND 20 KTS AT BRO AND HRL.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS RETURNS LATE TONIGHT OFF THE GULF.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK, WITH BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS CREATING SCEC
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BAY AND OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY AND TOMORROW.
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GRADUALLY DIMINISHES INTO
FRIDAY. ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MAY CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 77 90 76 89 / 50 60 50 50
HARLINGEN 73 91 73 90 / 30 60 30 40
MCALLEN 76 93 75 93 / 30 50 30 40
RIO GRANDE CITY 71 93 71 93 / 30 40 20 30
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 86 81 85 / 50 60 60 40
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 88 76 88 / 40 60 50 40
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...56-HALLMAN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page