884
FXUS64 KBRO 090315
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1015 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1007 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
-LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.
-MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL
CONTINUE TO LEAD TO SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INTO FRIDAY.
WITH PWATS AROUND 2 INCHES, WE COULD SEE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THIS
ACTIVITY LEADING TO NUISANCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOW
LYING AREAS. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR
MOVES IN. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, MAINLY ALONG
THE SEA BREEZE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL WITH DAILY HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH 80S ALONG THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL FALL INTO THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S.
ONSHORE FLOW AND ELEVATED WAVE HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE WITH A
MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY, REMAINING
MODERATE INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES. THERE COULD STILL BE
AN ISOLATED SHOWER NEAR HRL AND MFE THIS EVENING AND IF THIS
ACTIVITY DOES AFFECT THE AERODROME BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE ON THURSDAY WITH GUSTS TO
25 KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT THROUGH FRIDAY WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS ON THE WATERS OFF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST.
SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH FRIDAY,
ESPECIALLY ON THE OFFSHORE WATERS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY, BEFORE CHANCES DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND.
ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 77 90 76 89 / 50 60 50 50
HARLINGEN 73 91 73 90 / 30 60 30 40
MCALLEN 76 93 75 93 / 30 50 30 40
RIO GRANDE CITY 71 93 71 93 / 30 40 20 30
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 86 81 85 / 50 60 60 40
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 88 76 88 / 40 60 50 40
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...68
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