055
FXUS64 KBRO 022314
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
514 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 513 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY, WITH A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW DUE TO
INCREASED WINDS, WAVE HEIGHTS AND WAVE PERIODS BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AS WELL AS INCREASING EFFECTS FROM ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.
- RIDGING ALOFT AND DRY CONDITIONS (LESS THAN 10% CHANCE OF RAIN)
RETURN TODAY AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES, BECOMING ABOVE
AVERAGE BY MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
A RAIN-FREE FORECAST WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES STARTING CLOSE TO NORMAL
AND THEN BECOMING HIGHER BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE REGION, MORE DRY AIR WILL FILTER
IN DUE TO THE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. MEANWHILE, AT THE SURFACE, THE
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TOWARDS THE EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS SHIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE CENTRAL GULF STATES.
A COMBINATION OF SWELL, WAVES, AND TIDES WILL KEEP A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF TODAY. EVEN AFTER TODAY, A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AS WELL.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 513 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY....VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE 00Z TAF CYCLE.
EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 5-12 KTS WILL PERSIST DURING THE DAYTIME
THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. AT NIGHT, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TO CALM.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM THIS EVENING
AS GUSTS OVER THE WATERS CONTINUE TO BE FREQUENTLY OVER 20 KNOTS
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS AS WELL. HOWEVER, AFTER THAT
PERIOD ADVERSE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR A LITTLE WHILE
LONGER THAT WILL REQUIRE FOR SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION. BY
TOMORROW MORNING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE AGAIN
AND REMAIN THAT WAY FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 59 81 62 83 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 53 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 57 85 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 51 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 70 78 71 78 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 60 79 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ451-454-
455.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...64-KATZ
LONG TERM....64-KATZ
AVIATION...23-EVBUOMA
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