534  
FXUS64 KBRO 231723  
AFDBRO  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX  
1123 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1115 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025  
 
* PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 
* AFTER TODAY, DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE  
WEEKEND WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
* MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK IN WAKE OF A  
COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025  
 
LOW RAIN CHANCES (20-30%) WILL CONTINUE TODAY DUE TO ONSHORE FLOW  
ELEVATED MOISTURE AND SOME WEAK LIFTING. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN LATER  
TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER  
THE GULF INTO EASTERN TEXAS. THIS WILL ALSO HELP TO MAINTAIN WELL  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO  
UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWA ON SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING WITH  
IT RETURNING CHANCES FOR RAIN SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY (40-60%).  
THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. MONDAY AND  
TUESDAY HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO  
THE THE 40S AND 50S BY MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO CHRISTMAS  
EVE, AND AGAIN ON CHRISTMAS MORNING. PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG  
WILL CAUSE LOW VISIBILITIES, LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES, SO USE  
CAUTION IF DRIVING.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING AT ALL SITES,  
THOUGH MAY STILL SEE SOME BRIEF MVFR OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. LATER  
TONIGHT, CEILINGS WILL BEGIN TO FALL WITH MVFR CEILINGS FALLING  
IFR/LIFR FOR HRL AND MFE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. BRO COULD SEE SOME  
BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS AS WELL AS PATCHY FOG DEVELOPS ACROSS THE  
REGION. VFR WILL RETURN BY MID DAY.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025  
 
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH  
THIS WEEKEND. CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM  
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALLY ENHANCED  
WINDS AND SEAS. WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 OF 4 FEET WITH 5 TO 8 SECOND  
PERIODS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HAZARDOUS MARINE  
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON MONDAY IN WAKE A COLD FRONT SUNDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
BROWNSVILLE 83 67 83 66 / 20 0 10 0  
HARLINGEN 84 64 84 63 / 20 0 10 0  
MCALLEN 87 68 86 67 / 30 10 0 0  
RIO GRANDE CITY 87 65 86 66 / 20 10 0 0  
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 77 70 76 69 / 10 0 10 0  
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 81 65 80 64 / 20 0 10 0  
 
 
   
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...68  
LONG TERM....68  
AVIATION...68  
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