565
FXUS64 KBRO 291726
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1126 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- A STRONG COLD FRONT CAME THROUGH THIS MORNING, BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND NORTHERLY WINDS INTO THE AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. WINDS SHOULD CALM AND BECOME LESS GUSTY TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW, BUT A WIND ADVISORY AND A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ARE IN
EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING.
- DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
TOMORROW. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY EVENING.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY. A GALE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING, WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPECTED ONCE WINDS DECREASE BELOW GALE
CONDITIONS.
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING, WHICH
HAS BROUGHT COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ONGOING WIND SPEEDS ARE NORTHERLY AND GUSTY,
WITH A WIND ADVISORY AND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH
THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BUT REMAIN NORTHERLY
THROUGHOUT THE EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES FURTHER
AND FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN NORTHERLY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
FUNNEL COOL, DRY AIR INTO OUR REGION. THIS, COMBINED WITH
RADIATIONAL COOLING DUE TO CLEAR SKIES AND CALMER WINDS, WILL
SUPPORT THE COLDEST LOW TEMPERATURES TOMORROW NIGHT, WHEN LOWS
SHOULD GET DOWN TO THE UPPER 30S FOR THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS AND
THE LOWER 40S FOR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW SHOULD REMAIN COOL, WITH TEMPERATURES
REACHING THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. ON
WEDNESDAY, A WARMING TREND SHOULD BEGIN AS RIDGING SETTLES IN AND
WINDS SHIFT BACK TO A SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION, WITH HIGHS
REACHING THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S WEDNESDAY AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TO THE MID 80S BY THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL WARM TO THE UPPER
50S/LOWER 60S BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND STAY IN THAT RANGE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AT AREA
BEACHES THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW DUE TO
ELEVATED WINDS AND SURF. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT
UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING AS WELL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH OVERCAST SKIES AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED FOR ALL AIRPORTS. WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT
THE TAF PERIOD AND GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE BY 02-04Z FOR HRL AND MFE.
DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE COAST, GUSTS MAY HANG AROUND A LITTLE
LONGER AT BRO.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS THE REMAINDER OF TODAY, AS A
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH 6 PM CST. ONCE WINDS DROP
BELOW GALE CRITERIA, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW. CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN CONTINUE
TO IMPROVE TO FAVORABLE BY TOMORROW NIGHT AND REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 66 47 61 43 / 40 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 64 43 60 40 / 20 0 0 0
MCALLEN 61 48 62 44 / 30 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 59 47 62 39 / 40 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 67 55 59 52 / 40 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 66 48 61 44 / 30 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ248>255-351-
353>355-451-454-455.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ451-454-
455.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ451-454-455.
GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ130-132-135-150-
155-170-175.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
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