882
FXUS64 KBRO 300430
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1030 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1027 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER TEXAS COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT TONIGHT ON THE LAGUNA MADRE AND TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY ON
THE GULF WATERS.
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
MODERATE NORTH WINDS LATE THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
OVERNIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THE
LINGERING CLOUD COVER AND SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WINDS SHOULD ALLOW LOW
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT TO FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S, EXCEPT THE
50S AT THE BEACHES. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS ON
TUESDAY AS LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTH WINDS CONTINUE. MOSTLY CLOUDY AND
COOL ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE
THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE WEEK. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES SHOULD
SUPPORT GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S ACROSS THE NORTHERN
RANCHLANDS TO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 40S FOR THE POPULATED PORTIONS OF
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE LOWER 50S AT THE BEACHES.
A WARMING TREND STARTS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD AND THE SOUTHEAST FLOW RETURNS.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO THE LOWER 70S
UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM INTO
THE LOWER 80S ON THURSDAY, THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY FRIDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL RECOVER INTO THE UPPER
50S/LOWER 60S BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AT AREA
BEACHES THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO ELEVATED
WINDS AND SURF. ALSO, A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
OVERCAST SKIES AND NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DECREASE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. OBSERVED
WINDS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST LATE THIS EVENING ARE BETWEEN 15
TO 25 KNOTS, WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS OVER THE GULF WATERS.
SEA HEIGHTS BETWEEN 8 TO 14 FEET SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ON THE
GULF WATERS. THEREFORE, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
LAGUNA MADRE UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY AND THE GULF WATERS UNTIL 6 PM
TUESDAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AND BECOME
FAVORABLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 69 47 61 45 / 50 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 65 43 61 41 / 20 0 0 0
MCALLEN 63 47 63 45 / 30 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 61 47 63 42 / 40 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 68 53 60 54 / 40 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 68 47 60 45 / 30 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ451-454-
455.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ451-454-455.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
175.
SHORT TERM...63-KC
LONG TERM....63-KC
AVIATION...63-KC
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