087
FXUS64 KBRO 301714
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1114 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1107 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
- SURF CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY TOMORROW, BUT THERE IS STILL A
MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT.
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ON THE GULF WATERS IS EXPECTED TO EXPIRE
THIS EVENING, BUT SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
- PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT STARTING ON NEW
YEARS EVE. THIS COULD POSSIBLY HAVE AN EFFECT ON LATE NIGHT NEW
YEAR TRAVEL DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES COOL AND FOG
DEVELOPS.
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS TOMORROW WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
A WARMING TREND THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN TOMORROW, AS MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGING GAINS A STRONGER
HOLD OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR, AND WINDS BEGIN TO
SHIFT BACK TO A SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. TOMORROW'S HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE LOWER 70S AND CONTINUE WARMING
UNTIL HIGHS REACH THE MID 80S BY FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REMAIN IN THE MID-80S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS WARM, DRY
WEATHER CONTINUES FOR THE AREA.
TONIGHT'S LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GET DOWN INTO THE MID-40S FOR MOST
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE UPPER 30S FOR ARES IN THE
NORTHERN RANCHLANDS. TOMORROW'S LOW TEMPERATURES WILL STAY IN THE
40S (BUT PERHAPS BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TONIGHT), BEFORE MORE
SIGNIFICANT WARMING TAKES PLACE ON THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN LOWS SHOULD
WARM TO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S. BY THE WEEKEND, LOWS SHOULD BE
BACK IN THE LOWER 60S AND STAY THERE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK, BUT CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS WILL SUPPORT THE OVERNIGHT POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BEGINNING ON NEW YEARS EVE.
GENERALLY, FOG FORMATION IS MOST LIKELY IN THE LATE OVERNIGHT/VERY
EARLY MORNING HOURS AT TIMES OF PEAK RADIATIONAL COOLING. HOWEVER,
IF THE TEMPERATURES DECREASE RAPIDLY ENOUGH TOMORROW NIGHT, PATCHY
FOG COULD FORM (PARTICULARLY IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES) CLOSER TO
MIDNIGHT, WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY IMPACT LATE-NIGHT NEW YEAR
TRAVELS. DRIVERS WILL WANT TO EXERCISE CAUTION IF THEY HAPPEN TO
ENCOUNTER ANY AREAS OF PATCHY FOG.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATING RIP CURRENTS AT AREA
BEACHES OVERNIGHT, BUT SURF CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TOMORROW AS
THE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO DECREASE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL AIRPORTS WITH OVERCAST SKIES
EXPECTED TO CLEAR TO SCATTERED HIGHER CLOUDS BY 22-23Z AND THEN
CLEAR BY 01-02Z. WINDS WILL BE NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY AND DECREASE
FROM MORE MODERATE TO MORE LIGHT THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE GULF
WATERS, WITH CONTINUED SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TONIGHT. MARINE CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN BECOME FAVORABLE
TOMORROW, AND CONTINUE TO REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 61 45 69 52 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 61 41 69 49 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 63 45 71 52 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 63 42 71 47 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 60 54 66 60 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 60 45 68 53 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ451-454-
455.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ451-454-
455.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ150-155-
170-175.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page