415
FXUS64 KBRO 272308 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
508 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM UP DURING THE WEEK ACROSS THE
REGION.
- A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY,
USHERING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
- SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES CANNOT BE RULED OUT ONCE AGAIN THIS
WEEKEND, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
A GENERALLY PLEASANT WEEK IS IN STORE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS,
WITH MOSTLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN STORE. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM INTO THE
LOW TO MID 70S BY THURSDAY, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE
UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS TO UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE REGION BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY, USHERING IN
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE IS TRENDING SLIGHTLY DRIER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS,
BUT LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES (20-30%) REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY PRIMARILY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST,
AND LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES (20-50%) ACROSS THE GULF WATERS.
OTHERWISE, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A FREEZE THIS WEEKEND ONCE
AGAIN, WITH THE BEST CHANCES CURRENTLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
RANCHLANDS. ADVERSE BEACH/MARINE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE
LOWER TEXAS BEACHES AND GULF WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 502 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE ANTICIPATED TO STICK AROUND ACROSS ALL TAF
SITES INTO TONIGHT, WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING, THOUGH THERE
IS A 20% CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS A FEW HOURS FOLLOWING SUNSET (NOT
INCLUDED IN THE TAFS) AND A 40% CHANCE AGAIN 09Z-11 Z WEDNESDAY,
NOTED IN THE TAF. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE, CLOUDS BEGIN TO CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS AT
ALL TERMINALS WITH A LIGHT NORTHERLY WIND PICKING UP BY THE
AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT
EXERCISE CAUTION TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT AS NORTHERLY WINS INCREASE AND SEAS
BECOME ELEVATED. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION, WITH RAIN CHANCES RANGING FROM 20-50%.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 49 68 50 74 / 10 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 42 67 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 45 69 48 75 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 38 68 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 56 64 58 70 / 10 0 0 10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 49 66 51 73 / 10 0 0 10
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...22-GARCIA
LONG TERM....22-GARCIA
AVIATION...65-IRISH
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