513
FXUS64 KBRO 111119 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
619 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 618 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
* FIRE DANGER STATEMENT (RFD) HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS ON
WEDNESDAY FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT.
* FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
* RECORD TO NEAR RECORD-BREAKING HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE ON
WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1110 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL
BRING DRIER AIR TO THE REGION. WHILE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT
WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT, THE COMBINATION OF COMPRESSIONAL HEATING FROM AIR
DESCENDING OFF THE SIERRA MADRE, INCREASED SUNSHINE, AND THE LOWER
SPECIFIC HEAT OF THE DRY AIR WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN THEY WERE TUESDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PEAK IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S.
A SECOND, STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN STRONGER NORTHERLY WINDS AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. WINDS WILL LIKELY SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY,
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 90S THIS WEEKEND.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY
BRING MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN THE NEW WORK WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL AT THE AERODROMES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
VEERING WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A
COLD FRONT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1110 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY, ANOTHER COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WILL LIKELY BRING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS THURSDAY MORNING,
WHICH WILL LIKELY REQUIRE ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
LAGUNA MADRE AND GULF WATERS.
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY IMPROVE AGAIN BY THURSDAY EVENING, WITH
GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MONDAY MAY BRING AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF ADVERSE
TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 95 62 74 53 / 10 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 96 56 76 49 / 10 0 0 0
MCALLEN 97 61 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 95 58 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 85 63 70 61 / 10 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 93 61 72 54 / 10 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR TXZ451-454-455.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ170-175.
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