021
FXUS64 KBRO 170318
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1018 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1013 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
* WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK.
* DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* ADVERSE MARINE AND COASTAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY
MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1013 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
A QUIET WEEK IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION SLOWLY MOVES
EASTWARD. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A LITTLE
CHILLY ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK. BY THIS WEEKEND THE UPPER
80S TO MID 90S RETURN. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT WITH LOWS
IN THE LOW 40S ACROSS THE RANCHLANDS TO LOW 50S IN THE LOWER VALLEY.
NO RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
HUMIDITY LEVELS REMAIN LOW FOR TUESDAY, BUT WINDS WILL BE MUCH
LIGHTER. AT THIS TIME WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS.
HOWEVER, EXTREMELY DRY FUELS AND D2-D4 DROUGHT CONDITIONS COULD LEAD
TO POTENTIAL WILDFIRES WITH ANY SPARK SO OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT
RECOMMENDED.
AT LOCAL BEACHES, HAZARDOUS COASTAL/SWIMMING CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING AS WELL AS A
COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT UNTIL 5 AM.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL AERODROMES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1013 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
TONIGHT, WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE WITH FAVORABLE
MARINE CONDITIONS RETURNING ON TUESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY OUT FOR ALL WATERS OFF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST UNTIL 7 AM.
WINDS TUESDAY THOUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO
MODERATE WITH SEAS OF 2 TO 3 FEET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 53 71 55 78 / 10 10 0 0
HARLINGEN 47 73 51 81 / 10 0 0 0
MCALLEN 50 76 55 85 / 10 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 47 75 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 58 66 61 72 / 10 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 53 70 55 77 / 10 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ451-454-455.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ451-454-455.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135-
150-155-170-175.
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...68
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