668
FXUS64 KBRO 261614
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1114 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1113 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
* ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK.
* A FRONT ARRIVES EARLY SATURDAY WITH A MEDIUM (25 TO 50 PERCENT)
CHANCE OF RAIN AND BRIEFLY CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
* AN ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS INTO LATE FRIDAY, WITH WELL-ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NO CHANCE OF RAIN. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY RUNS SOUTH
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, BRIEFLY DROPPING TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMAL AND BRINGING A LOW TO NOW MEDIUM (25-50 PERCENT) CHANCE
OF RAIN, MAINLY SATURDAY MORNING, DIPPING SOUTH TOWARDS THE RIO
GRANDE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT QPF STILL SITS AROUND 0.15
OF AN INCH OR LESS, MAINLY ACROSS THE RGV.
OTHER THAN SATURDAY’S BRIEF BREAK, THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
LOOKS THE SAME THURSDAY, FRIDAY, AND THEN SUNDAY INTO MID NEXT
WEEK. BREEZY AFTERNOONS AND RH VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT ALONG AND
WEST OF US281/I69C. FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS MAY BE ISSUED, BUT NO
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, WITH THE LOWEST
MOISTURE BEING GENERALLY WEST OF THE STRONGER WINDS UNTIL THE
EVENING HOURS, WHEN HUMIDITY IS RECOVERING.
THE ENTIRE REGION REMAINS PRIMED FOR WILDFIRES AND BURN BANS ARE
IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, EXCEPT KENEDY COUNTY.
CPC PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS IN BOTH 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAYS LEAN
TOWARD ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AT 40-50 PERCENT THROUGH APRIL 8.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1113 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY....VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. SKIES WILL BE MAINLY SKC, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
A SCT-BKN DECK OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS CLOUDS EACH AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 7-15 KTS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL GUSTS 20-30 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1020 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS PERSIST THROUGH LATE FRIDAY AND AGAIN NEXT
WEEK, WITH GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON
BREEZES ACROSS THE BAY MAY OCCASIONALLY KICK UP A MODERATE CHOP OR
BRIEF SMALL CRAFT CAUTION GUSTS. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARRIVE WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE
DROPPING BACK TO EASTERLY OR SOUTHEASTERLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 67 87 66 83 / 0 0 10 50
HARLINGEN 63 91 62 85 / 0 0 10 40
MCALLEN 68 94 67 88 / 0 0 10 50
RIO GRANDE CITY 65 96 64 87 / 0 0 20 40
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 71 79 69 77 / 0 0 10 40
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 66 86 64 81 / 0 0 10 40
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...63-KC
LONG TERM....63-KC
AVIATION...23-EVBUOMA
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