750
FXUS64 KBRO 271643
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TOMORROW, WHICH WILL SLIGHTLY COOL
TEMPERATURES AND CREATE A LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TOMORROW.
* WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TREK ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS ON
SATURDAY WHICH WILL BRING A WEAK COLD FRONT TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE
SURFACE LOW WILL CREATE ENOUGH INSTABILITY THAT OUR REGION COULD SEE
A LOW TO MODERATE (20-40%) CHANCE OF ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHOWERS
TOMORROW MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ALSO COOL INTO
THE LOW 80S TOMORROW, DUE TO A COMBINATION OF THE WEAK FRONT AND
INCREASED CLOUD COVER.
OTHERWISE, THE DOMINANT PATTERN FOR THIS UPCOMING WEEK IS UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGING, WHICH WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WARM AND DRY THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER
80S/LOWER 90S AGAIN BY SUNDAY GRADUALLY WARM INTO THE MID-UPPER 90S
BY NEXT FRIDAY. SOME GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING THAT THE RIDGING
PATTERN COULD BREAK DOWN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS A PACIFIC
SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST BY THE END OF THE WEEK, BUT EXACT
IMPACTS ARE UNCERTAIN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL AIRPORTS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. SOME GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON,
PARTICULARLY AT MFE. TOMORROW MORNING, A NORTHERLY WIND DIRECTION
CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITH A COLD FRONT ARRIVAL BETWEEN 13-16Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
LOW TO MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITH OVERALL FAVORABLE
MARINE CONDITONS. TOMORROW'S COLD FRONT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS
OFFSHORE, BUT OTHERWISE NO SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION OR SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 67 82 65 84 / 0 30 20 20
HARLINGEN 62 83 61 87 / 10 30 20 20
MCALLEN 67 86 65 90 / 10 40 20 20
RIO GRANDE CITY 64 83 62 90 / 20 40 20 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 69 76 69 77 / 10 30 20 20
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 65 80 65 83 / 10 30 20 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
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