499
FXUS64 KBRO 280532 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1232 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1222 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WEEKEND SHOT OF RAINFALL DUE TO A COLD FRONT.
* FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS TURNING MORE ADVERSE NEXT WEEK.
* STRENGTHENING WINDS NEXT WEEK MAY RESULT IN RIP CURRENT AND
WILDFIRE CONCERNS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1010 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED ALONG A HOUSTON TO LAREDO
LINE. THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
WITH NEAR NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN BEGIN TO
WARM ON SUNDAY AS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION REMAINS A
POSSIBILITY. HOWEVER, FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH GENERALLY DRY WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL WITH 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY NOSING IN FROM THE
WEST.
LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH
NEXT FRIDAY TO WARRANT A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF
THE BRO CWFA. IN FACT, A BREEZY TO WINDY ONSHORE FLOW FROM SUNDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY MAY POSE A RISK FOR ENHANCED WILDFIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD, THE RESULT OF WHICH MAY BE THE NEED FOR RANGELAND FIRE
DANGER STATEMENTS DURING SOME OR ALL OF THESE DAYS.
OF COURSE, WITH INTENSIFYING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ALONG THE
LOWER TEXAS COAST, A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MAY
RESULT AT THE LOCAL BEACHES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE AT
ALL TAF SITES. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE TAF CYCLE RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT
TOWARDS THE NORTH AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. HOWEVER THE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR
RAIN DURING THE PERIOD, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE IN THE TAF PACKAGE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1010 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
OF SATURDAY, FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ALONG THE
LOWER TEXAS COAST DURING THE WEEKEND. AN INTENSIFYING PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA WILL PRODUCE STRONGER
WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS FOR THE NEW WORK WEEK, RESULTING IN SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AT A MINIMUM AND POSSIBLE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY TOWARDS THE MIDDLE AND END OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 83 65 84 67 / 40 20 30 0
HARLINGEN 82 61 85 63 / 40 10 30 0
MCALLEN 83 65 88 68 / 40 20 30 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 81 63 89 65 / 40 20 10 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 75 69 77 70 / 30 20 30 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 80 64 83 66 / 30 20 30 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...64-KATZ
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