602
FXUS64 KBRO 292316 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
616 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 610 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
* ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
* RAIN CHANCES MAY RETURN TO THE COAST TUESDAY.
* ONGOING DROUGHT AND VERY DRY GRASS/BRUSH MEAN WILDFIRES CAN
START EASILY. USE CAUTION WITH OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. FIRE DANGER
STATEMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY AT TIMES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THE WEEK
MAINTAINING ONSHORE FLOW. A WEAK TROUGH OVER MEXICO WILL MAINTAIN
A LOW CHANCE (10-30%) OF POPS TODAY IN THE LOW TO MID-VALLEY. HAVE
SEEN A FEW BRIEF LIGHT SHOWERS POP UP HERE AND THERE THIS
MORNING, AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN THE CASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, THOUGH A
WEAK DISTURBANCE OVERHEAD TUESDAY COULD BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE
COAST. AS WE HEAD INTO THIS WEEKEND, ANOTHER FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, AGAIN BRINGING LOW RAIN CHANCES ALONG
THE COAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE THE WEEK, BUT A
COLD FRONT THIS WEEKEND COULD DROP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW
NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WHILE WINDS AND HUMIDITY LEVELS FALL SHY OF ANY RED FLAG/FIRE
DANGER STATEMENTS, WILL BE MONITORING THE SITUATION CLOSELY FOR
POTENTIAL ISSUANCE. ONGOING DROUGHT WITH CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY DRY
FUELS COULD LEAD TO RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH IF IGNITED. BURN BANS
ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON, HIDALGO, WILLACY, BROOKS, JIM HOGG,
ZAPATA, AND STARR COUNTIES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 10-15 KNOTS, GUSTING TO
20-25 KNOTS, EARLY THIS EVENING DIMINISH TO 5-10 KNOTS,
OCCASIONALLY GUSTING TO 15-20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY, THOUGH THERE IS A LOW AND MEDIUM PROBABILITY OF MVFR
CEILINGS DEVELOPING AT KHRL AND KMFE, RESPECTIVELY, DURING THE
EARLY MONDAY MORNING HOURS THROUGH SUNRISE; AMENDMENTS ARE
POSSIBLE. VFR CONDITIONS RESUME THROUGHOUT THE LATER MORNING HOURS
AS SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS, WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25 KNOTS, OR HIGHER, POSSIBLE BY THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE
WATERS OFF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST WITH WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FT AND
6 TO 7 SECOND PERIODS. COULD SEE SOME CAUTION CONDITIONS EACH
AFTERNOON, MAINLY ON THE LAGUNA MADRE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 67 85 69 86 / 0 0 10 20
HARLINGEN 63 89 66 89 / 0 0 0 20
MCALLEN 68 91 70 93 / 0 0 0 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 66 92 67 94 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 71 78 72 78 / 0 0 10 20
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 66 84 68 85 / 0 0 10 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...65-IRISH
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