328
FXUS64 KBRO 091714
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1214 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1211 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
* MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK WILL BE A CONCERN FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
* GULF MOISTURE AND SURFACE TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY
FRIDAY WHICH WILL SUPPORT LOW TO MODERATE RAIN CHANCES THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY.
* THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AT
AREA BEACHES THE REST OF TODAY, TONIGHT, AND TOMORROW.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
WARM, HUMID, AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS
DOMINANT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS. AS A RESULT, HEAT RISK WILL
BE A CONCERN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4)
HEAT RISK IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ALL WEEK,
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WELL.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY AS AN INFLUX OF GULF
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS INFLUX OF MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY SURFACE TROUGHING JUST TO OUR
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THAT WILL ALLOW FOR LOW (10-30%) RAIN CHANCES
FRIDAY, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE (20-40%) FOR SATURDAY. SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY WILL ALSO SUPPORT LOW TO MODERATE CHANCES (10-40%
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ON TUESDAY) AS THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO
REMAIN UNSETTLED. PWATS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNUSUALLY HIGH (OVER
2 INCHES), SO SHOWERS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAPPEN TO FORM WILL
BE EFFICIENT RAINMAKERS. AT THIS TIME, NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION
OR FLOOD THREATS ARE EXPECTED, BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL PERSIST AT AREA BEACHES THROUGH
AT LEAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT ALL AIRPORTS WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THAT COULD BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON. CLOUDS SHOULD BE FEW TO SCATTERED WITH A LITTLE MORE
CLOUD COVERAGE EXPECTED EARLY TOMORROW MORNING (BUT STILL
MAINTAINING VFR CONDITIONS).
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY
THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. PERIODS OF INTERMITTENT SCEC ARE POSSIBLE
STARTING THURSDAY AS THE WIND SPEEDS INCREASE, AND SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS WAVE HEIGHTS ALSO
INCREASE. INTERMITTENT SCEC SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 81 93 81 93 / 10 10 10 0
HARLINGEN 77 93 78 93 / 10 10 10 0
MCALLEN 79 96 80 96 / 10 10 0 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 77 97 78 97 / 0 10 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 83 87 83 87 / 10 10 10 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 81 90 81 90 / 10 10 10 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
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