091
FXUS64 KBRO 221740
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1240 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1234 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
- HOT AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH THE HEAT RISK BEING MOSTLY MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) EACH
DAY.
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM TUESDAY DUE
TO ELEVATED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
A TREND OF HOT AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS IS DUE TO A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION
RESULTING IN HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE RANGE OF MID TO UPPER 90S.
HOWEVER IT IS POSSIBLE FOR SOME AREAS TO SEE TRIPLE DIGITS AS WELL.
THE HEAT RISK FOR TODAY IS MOST MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4), BUT THERE
ARE SOME PLACES THAT COULD BE IN A MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4). AS FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK, THE HEAT RISK IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY MODERATE.
THE HEAT INDICES FOR EACH DAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO 108, WHICH
IS BELOW CRITERIA FOR HEAT ADVISORY, BUT COULD MERIT AN SPS FOR
ELEVATED HEAT INDICES. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY AND TOMORROW.
HOWEVER, THERE SHOULD BE A BIT OF A LULL IN THE WINDS COME WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.
CONDITIONS FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST SHOULD GENERALLY BE PLEASANT,
THOUGH A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
AROUND 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING AT ALL TAF SITES. WHILE THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS SHOULD
WEAKEN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PLACE AS WELL. BY MID-MORNING, THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY AGAIN TO AROUND 25-30 KNOTS AGAIN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO LATE TONIGHT
AS FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OVER 20 KNOTS ARE CURRENTLY BEING OBSERVED
STILL AND WILL PERSIST FOR A WHILE LONGER. WHILE THE WINDS WILL
DECREASE STARTING LATE TOMORROW, SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AS WINDS
INCREASE DURING THAT TIME. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE WINDS INCREASE YET
AGAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 94 81 94 80 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 94 78 94 77 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 96 80 95 79 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 98 78 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 89 82 88 82 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 92 80 92 79 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135-
150-155-170-175.
SHORT TERM...64-KATZ
LONG TERM....64-KATZ
AVIATION...64-KATZ
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