415  
FXUS64 KBRO 260344  
AFDBRO  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX  
1044 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1031 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
* RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL  
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.  
 
* PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-110F DEGREES WILL RESULT IN  
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH  
TEXAS EACH DAY.  
 
* IT WILL ALSO BE BREEZY AT TIMES WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS 15-25 MPH,  
GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH; WINDS COULD GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES,  
PARTICULARLY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.  
 
* THERE REMAINS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP AND  
LONGSHORE CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
RAIN-FREE AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
THE THEME THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD OR THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A 591-  
594 DAM SUB-TROPICAL HEAT RIDGE WILL BE THE DRIVER OF OUR DRY AND  
TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
 
NEXT WEEK, DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL SIT ON THE WEST-SOUTHWEST FLANK  
OF THE ANOMALOUSLY STRONG HEAT DOME AS IT LOOKS TO SHIFT TOWARDS  
THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION, WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD  
HEAT WAVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.  
 
AN ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT NEAR THE SFC WILL RESULT IN BREEZY  
CONDITIONS AT TIMES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS  
15-25 MPH COULD GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH NEARLY EACH DAY. WINDS COULD  
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES, PARTICULARLY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.  
 
SINCE THE HEAT RIDGE/DOME WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD, TEMPS  
WILL BE OF SEASONABLE LEVELS. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE  
BETWEEN THE MID 90S CLOSE TO THE COAST TO NEAR 100F DEGREES FAR  
WEST/INLAND EACH DAY. MEANWHILE, OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS TO THE UPPER  
70S/LOWER 80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EACH NIGHT. DESPITE  
THESE SEASONABLE LEVEL TEMPERATURES, THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE  
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS THE REGION  
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES RANGING BETWEEN 100-110F  
DEGREES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 513 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY....VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL  
THROUGH THE 00Z TAF CYCLE.  
 
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE FORECAST  
PERIOD WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS BETWEEN 25-30 KTS OR  
SO.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026  
 
BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE SEAS TO AT TIMES  
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST  
MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, LOW TO MODERATE SEAS  
ARE POSSIBLE.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
BROWNSVILLE 81 94 81 93 / 0 0 0 0  
HARLINGEN 78 95 78 95 / 0 0 0 0  
MCALLEN 80 97 80 97 / 0 0 0 0  
RIO GRANDE CITY 77 100 77 99 / 0 0 0 0  
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 88 82 87 / 0 0 0 0  
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 80 92 80 91 / 0 0 0 0  
 
 
   
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...23-EVBUOMA  
LONG TERM....23-EVBUOMA  
AVIATION...23-EVBUOMA  
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