885
FXUS64 KBRO 261726
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1226 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
* WARM, BREEZY, AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK, WITH A MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK EACH DAY.
* THERE IS AN INCREASING THREAT OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP AND
LONGSHORE CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
* DAILY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE BAY AND
NORTHERN NEARSHORE GULF WATERS EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
THE 500MB RIDGE GRADUALLY WORKS EAST ACROSS TEXAS THIS WEEKEND
AND TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES BY MID NEXT WEEK, PULLING IN A
DISTURBANCE OR TWO ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN WARM, BUT
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, INTO THE START OF JULY AND SLOWLY START TO
RE-INTRODUCE A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, MAINLY
ALONG THE COAST OR WITH THE SEA BREEZE, AS EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES
MOISTURE UNDER THE RIDGE. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY, WITH WIND GUSTS NEAR 30-35 MPH EACH DAY.
THERE IS A MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK EVERY AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN CONCERN BEYOND HEAT WILL BE AN INCREASED THREAT OF LIFE-
THREATENING RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST. WITH
ASTRONOMICAL PULL INCREASING THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND
PERSISTENT LONG PERIOD EASTERLY SWELL, EXPECT RIP CURRENTS
ESPECIALLY TO STRENGTHEN. FOR MORE INFORMATION YOU CAN VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/BRO/SURFMATRICES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH
BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH ANYTHING STREAMING INLAND FROM THE
GULF.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DUE TO THE STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST WILL DRIVE PERIODIC SMALL
CRAFT CAUTION TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS, MAINLY ALONG THE
BAY, AND GRADUALLY BUILD GULF SEAS TOWARDS 4 TO 6 FEET EACH
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HAVE ISSUED A BRIEF SCA FROM THIS
AFTERNOON INTO LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE BAY AND NORTHERN
NEARSHORE GULF WATERS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF STREAMER SHOWERS
OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 81 94 81 93 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 78 95 79 95 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 80 97 80 97 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 77 99 79 99 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 88 82 87 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 80 91 80 91 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ130-132-
135-155.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...56-HALLMAN
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