121  
FNUS51 KBTV 200758  
FWFBTV  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL/NORTHERN VERMONT AND  
NORTHERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
   
..WARM AND DRY TODAY, THEN BENEFICIAL RAIN TO ARRIVE THURSDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY. WE REMAIN IN OUR DRY WEATHER  
PATTERN FOR ONE MORE DAY. HOWEVER, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT,  
EXCEPT IN THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS COULD PICK  
UP TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. SOME POCKETS OF 40 TO  
50 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED IN THE  
ADIRONDACKS AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT, BUT MOST OF THE REGION  
WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 50 PERCENT TODAY. SO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
SHOULD BE FAIRLY MINIMAL.  
 
A LARGE UPPER LOW WILL HELP PROVIDE SEVERAL DAYS OF NEEDED RAIN  
AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. IT WILL TAKE PRECIPITATION SOME TIME TO  
REACH THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM, BUT BY THURSDAY MORNING, WE SHOULD  
OBSERVE RAIN GRADUALLY LIFTING NORTHEAST AND THEN EXPANDING IN  
EXTENT MIDDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT EXPECTED BEYOND  
THURSDAY.  
 
VTZ030-202115-  
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF VERMONT-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURLINGTON, SHELBURNE, MIDDLEBURY,  
VERGENNES, ST. ALBANS, SWANTON, ENOSBURG FALLS, AND BRISTOL  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 37 44  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 5  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.35  
PRECIP DURATION 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 57 100 80  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2590 2540  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 E 8  
VENTILATION RATE 15540 20320  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
VTZ033-035-202115-  
NORTHERN TACONICS-LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY NORTH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FAIR HAVEN, RUTLAND, DANBY, SPRINGFIELD,  
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION, AND WOODSTOCK  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 37 41  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 7 G18  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G18 NE 9 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.64  
PRECIP DURATION 1 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 48 100 86  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2850 2850  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 5 E 14  
VENTILATION RATE 14250 39900  
KBDI 201-300 201-300 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
VTZ034-202115-  
SOUTH CENTRAL GREENS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RIPTON, EAST WALLINGFORD, KILLINGTON,  
BETHEL, AND LUDLOW  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 36 38  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 12 G27  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 9 G26 E 14 G32  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.66  
PRECIP DURATION 1 10  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 51 100 88  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2770 2730  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 E 17  
VENTILATION RATE 13850 46410  
KBDI 201-300 201-300 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
VTZ032-202115-  
CENTRAL VERMONT-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RICHMOND, UNDERHILL, JOHNSON, STOWE,  
MONTPELIER, WAITSFIELD, STARKSBORO, BRADFORD, RANDOLPH,  
AND ST. JOHNSBURY  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 36 41  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 6 G19  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G20 NE 8 G19  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.28  
PRECIP DURATION 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 56 100 82  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2800 2750  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 E 10  
VENTILATION RATE 14000 27500  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
VTZ031-202115-  
NORTHEAST KINGDOM-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DERBY, NEWPORT, ISLAND POND, LUNENBURG,  
AND HARDWICK  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 36 42  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 8 G18  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 5 NE 9 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.09  
PRECIP DURATION 3  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 61 97 78  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2620 2740  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 E 14  
VENTILATION RATE 18340 38360  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ205-202115-  
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMPLAIN, PLATTSBURGH, PORT HENRY,  
TICONDEROGA, AND SCHROON LAKE  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 35 41  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 5  
20FTWND PM(MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 9 G19  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.50  
PRECIP DURATION 0 10  
PRECIP BEGIN 4 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 57 100 88  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2480 2070  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 E 10  
VENTILATION RATE 17360 20700  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ204-202115-  
ADIRONDACK HIGH PEAKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAKE PLACID, KEENE, MOUNT VAN HOEVENBERG,  
NEWCOMB, AND WILMINGTON  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 34 37  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 9 G21  
20FTWND PM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 9 G28 NE 10 G25  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.67  
PRECIP DURATION 1 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 49 100 88  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2620 2380  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 E 14  
VENTILATION RATE 15720 33320  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ203-202115-  
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STAR LAKE, TUPPER LAKE, PAULS SMITHS,  
AND WANAKENA  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 36 39  
20FTWND AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6  
20FTWND PM(MPH) E 5 E 9 G20 NE 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.51  
PRECIP DURATION 1 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 44 100 86  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2120 1870  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 E 10  
VENTILATION RATE 16960 18700  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ202-202115-  
ST. LAWRENCE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MASSENA, NORFOLK, FORT COVINGTON, MALONE,  
OGDENSBURG, POTSDAM, BRASHER FALLS, AND GOUVERNEUR  
258 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 60 90  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 38 42  
20FTWND AM(MPH) E 6 E 5  
20FTWND PM(MPH) NE 8 G19 E 10 G19 NE 8 G18  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.07 0.50  
PRECIP DURATION 2 12  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 51 100 86  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 2360 2050  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 10 E 9  
VENTILATION RATE 23600 18450  
KBDI 201-300 201-300 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 
 
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