433  
FWUS41 KBTV 050433  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1232 AM EDT MON MAY 5 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 75 80 75 85 90 85 85 80 85 80 85 85 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 47 50 52 50 48 46 47 47 48 49 53 51 49 49 48 48 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 46 56 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 11 14 17 19 20 20 20 18 14 12 12 10 9 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 30 30 40 40 50 70 60 50 50 50 70 70 50 50 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.12 0.14 0.08  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.11 0.14 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.39 0.41 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 80 60 55 45 50 45 45 50 45 35 35 50 50 35 35  
TEMPERATURE 54 49 43 39 39 38 34 35 44 42 37 40 51 47 43 44 51 46  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 37 41 31 47 34 56 39 55  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW N N N N N E NE NW NW W SW W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 8 9 9 10 9 8 6 6 4 5 5 8 6 9 17 18 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 50 50 40 20 10 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.31 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 90 95 90 85 90 85 85 85 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 44 45 44 44 43 43 44 45 45 45 47 48 47 47 46 46 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 43 48 45  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 25 25 32 37 41 47 47 46 36 37 32 24 20 17 13 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 56  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 60 50 50 60 80 80 60 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.04 0.16 0.14 0.04 0.12 0.08 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.30 0.16 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.16 0.30 0.16 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.40 0.66 0.47 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 80 75 60 55 50 45 50 45 45 40 40 35 45 45 45 35  
TEMPERATURE 47 45 43 37 36 35 32 34 39 38 34 39 48 45 40 43 47 43  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 35 37 30 41 32 51 37 51  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N NE NE NE N NE NE E NW NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 13 11 12 18 31 24 16 16 11 11 14 16 20 33 33 31 32  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 30 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 85 85 90 90 85 85 85 85 85 85 80 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 48 50 49 50 47 47 47 47 48 51 53 54 51 50 49 48 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 46 54 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 18 18 23 26 28 34 34 34 28 26 21 19 16 12 9 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 60 50 50 60 80 80 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.01 0.12 0.10 0.03 0.11 0.08 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.22 0.14 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.21 0.15 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.24 0.41 0.39 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 80 70 60 50 50 45 50 45 40 35 35 35 45 45 45 35  
TEMPERATURE 53 49 44 39 41 39 34 36 45 42 36 41 53 48 42 45 52 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 39 42 31 47 34 56 39 56  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NE NE NE N N NE NE NE NW W W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 9 11 13 24 20 12 12 10 8 11 12 16 27 25 25 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 30 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 80 75 90 90 90 85 80 85 80 85 85 80 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 46 48 49 48 47 47 47 48 49 52 54 54 51 50 50 49 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 44 56 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 19 27 33 39 43 43 44 42 36 27 20 17 12 10 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH) 63 57  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 50 40 40 50 70 70 50 40 40 50 60 60 50 50 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.12 0.06 0.07  
LOW END QPF 0.08 0.12 0.05 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.27 0.26 0.30 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 75 65 55 50 45 50 45 40 40 40 35 50 45 45 35  
TEMPERATURE 53 48 44 40 40 39 35 36 44 42 37 42 53 49 44 46 51 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 38 42 31 46 34 56 40 55  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NE NE NE NE N NE E NE NW W W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 12 11 12 17 27 23 17 16 12 11 12 13 17 29 28 28 27  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 40 40 30 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 85 85 90 85 80 85 85 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 46 47 47 47 46 45 46 47 47 48 51 52 49 49 49 48 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 44 52 47  
WIND DIR E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW W  
WIND (MPH) 17 17 23 26 27 35 37 40 33 29 21 18 16 11 10 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 60 50 50 60 80 80 60 50 50 60 70 70 60 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.03 0.16 0.13 0.05 0.10 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.29 0.15 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.15 0.29 0.15 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.41 0.54 0.45 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 80 70 60 50 50 40 50 40 40 40 40 30 45 45 40 30  
TEMPERATURE 53 49 45 40 41 39 35 36 43 42 37 41 52 48 43 46 52 48  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 39 42 32 45 34 56 40 55  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N N N NW NW N E N NW W W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 9 8 9 12 20 17 10 12 10 9 10 11 14 24 23 25 24  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 20 20 10 20 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 85 90 95 90 85 90 85 85 90 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 46 47 47 46 45 45 45 46 46 47 50 50 48 48 47 47 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 44 50 46  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 23 23 29 35 39 46 46 46 36 35 28 21 18 13 11 9 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 55  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 60 50 50 60 80 80 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.04 0.17 0.13 0.04 0.12 0.09 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.30 0.16 0.13  
LOW END QPF 0.14 0.30 0.16 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.40 0.73 0.48 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 80 75 60 55 50 45 50 45 45 40 40 40 45 45 50 40  
TEMPERATURE 50 46 43 38 38 36 33 34 41 40 34 39 51 46 41 44 50 45  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 37 39 31 43 33 54 38 53  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N NE NE NE N NE NE E NW NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 13 10 10 13 25 20 12 13 10 9 12 14 19 31 32 27 27  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 30 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 90 95 85 85 85 85 80 85 80 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 47 50 49 50 48 47 47 47 48 51 53 54 52 51 50 49 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 46 55 48  
WIND DIR E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE SE S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 6 5 4 3 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 60 50 50 60 80 80 60 50 50 60 70 70 60 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.02 0.13 0.12 0.05 0.11 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.25 0.16 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.11 0.25 0.15 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.35 0.45 0.46 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 80 70 55 45 45 40 45 40 40 35 35 30 40 40 40 30  
TEMPERATURE 56 51 46 42 44 41 36 37 46 43 37 42 55 50 44 46 55 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 41 44 33 48 35 59 40 58  
WIND DIR W NW NW N N NW N N N NW E NW NW W W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 4 6 4 4 3 5 4 6 8 14 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 32  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 20 20 10 20 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 MM  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 MM  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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