039  
FWUS41 KBTV 051745  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
143 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 80 90 90 90 90 75 80 85 85 85 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 56 54 51 50 49 48 50 54 56 56 53 51 49 48 51  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 47 56 48  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
WIND (MPH) 12 14 17 19 20 20 20 18 14 13 14 12 10 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 20 40 40 50 60 50 30 50 50 30 30 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.07 0.13 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.07 0.13 0.06  
HIGH END QPF 0.38 0.57 0.31  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 90 80 70 70 65 65 60 60 70 65 45 35 55 60 45 40  
TEMPERATURE 58 53 45 39 39 38 35 34 43 40 38 39 49 46 42 43 49 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 39 42 33 44 36 53 39 53  
WIND DIR SW W NW NW NW N N N N N N N NW NW SW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 14 17 14 13 11 11 11 9 6 6 11 8 10 11 12 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 70 50 40 30 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.18  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 85 75 80 85 85 85 80 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 44 45 45 45 45 45 46 48 49 49 46 45 45 44 46  
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 45 50 44  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 32 33 33 39 37 36 35 34 31 23 23 21 17 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 50 70 80 60 80 60 70 80 60 60 50 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05 0.09 0.19 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.28 0.19 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.28 0.19 0.11  
HIGH END QPF 0.58 0.61 0.36  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 85 80 75 65 65 65 65 60 60 55 45 40 45 55 40 30  
TEMPERATURE 50 47 43 37 35 34 33 33 34 36 35 37 45 43 40 42 46 45  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 36 37 31 37 34 48 38 48  
WIND DIR SW W NW NW N N NE NE NE NE NE NE N NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 9 11 14 21 18 18 14 14 13 13 14 17 18 17 17 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 30 30 20 20 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R T R S S S S S S S R R S R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.07  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 85 85 85 90 90 80 75 75 80 80 85 80 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 50 51 49 48 48 48 49 52 54 54 51 49 48 47 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 47 54 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 20 23 23 27 26 27 27 24 20 18 18 17 12 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 50 60 70 60 70 50 70 70 60 60 40 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.18 0.16 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.19 0.16 0.11  
HIGH END QPF 0.38 0.45 0.39  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 85 75 75 65 65 65 65 60 60 50 45 40 45 60 40 30  
TEMPERATURE 55 52 45 41 41 38 35 35 41 41 37 39 51 47 41 44 51 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 41 42 33 43 35 53 39 53  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 9 8 9 10 14 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 8 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 20 30 20 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R S R S S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 85 90 90 85 80 80 75 80 80 75 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 47 48 49 47 47 48 49 53 55 55 52 50 48 48 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 46 55 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 27 29 31 34 34 33 37 32 26 20 20 17 14 10 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 40 50 80 50 50 20 30 40 50 40 30 30 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.05  
LOW END QPF 0.10 0.05 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.29 0.27 0.28  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 80 75 70 65 65 70 60 65 55 45 45 45 60 40 35  
TEMPERATURE 54 51 46 40 39 38 35 35 40 39 36 41 50 48 43 45 51 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 39 41 33 42 35 53 39 53  
WIND DIR W NW N NW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NW W W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 10 10 13 18 13 13 11 10 9 9 10 11 13 12 11 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 30 30 20 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 80 90 80 85 80 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 47 47 47 47 47 47 48 51 53 53 50 49 48 47 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 46 53 47  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 20 24 23 27 29 29 31 26 20 17 19 16 14 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 40 70 80 70 80 60 70 70 60 60 50 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.07 0.10 0.24 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.34 0.20 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.33 0.20 0.10  
HIGH END QPF 0.57 0.55 0.33  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 85 75 70 60 65 60 65 55 60 50 45 35 45 50 35 25  
TEMPERATURE 55 51 46 41 41 38 35 35 40 40 37 39 49 47 42 44 52 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 40 42 33 42 35 53 39 54  
WIND DIR SW W NW NW N N N N NE N N N N NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 10 10 10 14 13 13 11 11 9 9 9 10 13 11 11 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 30 30 20 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R S R S S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.21 0.08  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 85 75 80 85 85 85 80 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 46 47 47 46 46 46 47 50 51 51 48 47 46 45 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 45 51 45  
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 27 31 29 34 35 35 34 32 27 20 19 17 13 10 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 50 70 80 60 70 60 70 70 60 60 50 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.17 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.25 0.18 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.25 0.18 0.11  
HIGH END QPF 0.60 0.61 0.38  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 85 80 75 70 65 65 65 60 65 55 45 40 45 60 40 35  
TEMPERATURE 52 49 43 39 38 36 34 34 38 37 34 39 47 45 40 42 49 46  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 38 39 32 40 34 50 38 51  
WIND DIR SW W NW W N N NE NE NE NE NE NE N NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 6 10 11 17 9 10 10 9 8 8 9 10 9 9 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 24  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 20 30 20 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R S S S S S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.07  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/05/25 TUESDAY 05/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 80 90 80 85 80 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 50 51 49 48 48 48 49 53 55 55 52 50 49 48 51  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 48 56 48  
WIND DIR E SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE SE S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 10 10 11 10 9 8 8 8 6 5 5 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 50 70 80 70 80 60 70 70 60 60 50 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.07 0.10 0.23 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.33 0.20 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.33 0.20 0.10  
HIGH END QPF 0.48 0.55 0.34  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1  
 
DATE WED 05/07/25 THU 05/08/25 FRI 05/09/25 SAT 05/10/25 SUN 05/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 80 75 70 60 60 60 65 55 60 45 45 30 40 45 35 25  
TEMPERATURE 58 54 47 43 43 39 36 36 42 41 38 41 53 48 42 45 55 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 43 44 34 44 37 55 40 57  
WIND DIR SW W N N N N N N NE N N N N NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 6 6 5 4 5 5 2 2 2 5 3 3 3 6 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 30 30 20 10 10 20 30 20 20 30 30 20 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R S R S S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.07  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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