953  
FWUS41 KBTV 120018  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
818 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK SC BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 35 30 45 45 40 35 55 65 55 60 45 65 65 75  
TEMPERATURE 66 65 64 65 70 73 73 67 67 67 65 64 69 73 72 68  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 75 64 76  
WIND DIR SE S SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 3 5 4 4 4 5 5 8 10 12 12 13 12 13 12 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 5 5 5 20 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 50 50 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T R T T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.07  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.34 0.01 0.07  
LOW END QPF 0.34 0.01 0.07  
HIGH END QPF 0.34 0.01 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 65 20 35 20 5 10 20 20 30 45 50 75 70 75 70 70 70 55  
TEMPERATURE 67 63 69 66 63 64 73 67 63 65 75 69 68 65 69 66 64 63 68 62  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 72 60 76 61 78 64 74 61 72  
WIND DIR S S SW SW S SW W N S S SW S S S SW SW S S W NW  
WIND (MPH) 12 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 50 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 30 40 60 50 30 30 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.26 0.22  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 45 25 50 55 70 65 65 75 70 60 60 75 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 61 59 60 64 66 65 65 63 62 62 62 62 63 63 63 63  
MIN/MAX TEMP 58 67 61 66  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW S S S SW S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 10 12 16 16 17 14 14 14 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 50 20 20 10 10 30 30 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE R T T T R R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.13 0.00 0.09 0.16  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.26 0.13 0.25  
LOW END QPF 0.26 0.13 0.25  
HIGH END QPF 0.26 0.13 0.25  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 80 55 15 10 10 20 20 25 20 50 65 55 75 75 75 75 70 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 62 60 62 60 56 61 66 63 58 62 68 65 62 63 63 62 59 60 60 58  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 65 55 69 57 69 61 66 58 63  
WIND DIR S SW W W W W W NW SW S SW SW S S SW S S SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 16 12 10 10 13 9 10 9 9 8 11 13 14 14 14 17 17 16 12 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 20 20 30 40 60 50 30 30 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 60 40 25 45 65 70 60 60 60 60 55 60 75 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 63 62 61 67 71 73 72 67 65 64 63 65 69 70 70 67  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 73 62 72  
WIND DIR S S SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 8 8 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 30 50 20 20 20 20 30 30 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T T R R R R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.14 0.03 0.09 0.15  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.25 0.17 0.24  
LOW END QPF 0.25 0.17 0.24  
HIGH END QPF 0.25 0.17 0.24  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 15 10 10 15 15 25 20 50 65 55 75 75 75 75 70 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 64 63 69 65 58 64 74 68 60 65 75 69 64 66 70 66 62 63 68 63  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 71 57 75 58 76 62 72 59 70  
WIND DIR S SW W W W W W NW SW S SW SW S S SW SW S SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 3 2 3 6 5 5 5 8 6 5 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 20 20 30 40 60 50 30 30 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.04  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC BK BK SC BK SC SC BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 45 35 40 70 65 50 55 40 40 55 55 75 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 63 62 61 66 70 70 68 64 65 64 64 65 69 70 67 65  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 72 63 72  
WIND DIR SE SW SW SW S S S SW S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 4 3 4 5 5 6 10 11 11 12 10 10 10 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 5 10 20 40 10 10 10 10 40 40 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.17  
LOW END QPF 0.19 0.00 0.17  
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.00 0.17  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW SC FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 55 10 10 10 15 15 30 25 45 65 55 75 75 75 75 75 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 65 62 67 63 59 63 71 65 61 65 73 66 66 65 68 63 62 62 65 60  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 70 57 73 59 75 63 70 59 68  
WIND DIR SW SW W W SW SW W NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 12 9 6 8 10 8 8 6 6 5 8 10 11 10 11 13 12 10 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 30 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 30 50 60 50 30 30 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.04  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 40 30 55 60 70 55 65 70 70 60 60 70 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 64 62 62 66 70 70 70 67 65 64 64 64 67 69 69 67  
MIN/MAX TEMP 60 72 63 72  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW S S S SW S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 9 9 12 12 13 11 11 11 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 0 5 20 20 50 20 20 10 10 20 20 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.10 0.00 0.06 0.12  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.62 0.10 0.18  
LOW END QPF 0.62 0.10 0.18  
HIGH END QPF 0.62 0.10 0.18  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 60 15 10 10 15 20 20 20 50 60 50 70 75 75 70 70 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 64 63 68 65 58 64 73 68 61 65 74 69 65 66 69 66 62 63 67 63  
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 71 57 75 59 76 63 72 60 70  
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W NW W S SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 12 9 6 8 9 5 6 6 5 5 9 11 10 10 10 13 12 11 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 40 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 30 40 60 50 30 30 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 40 30 50 60 70 65 65 70 70 60 65 75 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 62 60 60 65 69 70 67 64 63 62 62 63 66 67 66 64  
MIN/MAX TEMP 59 70 61 69  
WIND DIR S S SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 9 9 10 10 10 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 30 50 20 20 10 10 30 30 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T T R R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.16 0.00 0.11 0.18  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.26 0.16 0.29  
LOW END QPF 0.26 0.16 0.29  
HIGH END QPF 0.26 0.16 0.29  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW SC FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 80 55 15 10 10 20 20 25 25 55 65 55 75 75 75 75 70 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 62 61 66 62 56 62 70 65 58 63 71 66 63 64 67 63 60 61 64 60  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 67 56 72 57 73 61 69 59 66  
WIND DIR S SW W W W W W NW SW S SW SW S S SW S S SW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 5 6 5 8 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 5 0 5 5 5 0 5 20 20 30 40 60 50 30 30 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20  
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC BK BK OV BK BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 40 30 55 55 70 60 65 70 70 65 65 70 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 65 63 62 68 73 74 72 69 66 64 64 65 70 72 71 68  
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 75 63 74  
WIND DIR N N W SW S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 0 0 1 1 3 4 4 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 50 20 20 10 10 20 20 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.12  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.57 0.07 0.16  
LOW END QPF 0.57 0.07 0.16  
HIGH END QPF 0.57 0.07 0.16  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 55 15 10 10 15 20 20 25 50 65 50 70 75 75 75 65 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 65 65 71 66 59 65 76 69 61 67 77 70 66 68 73 68 62 64 70 65  
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 73 58 77 60 79 64 74 61 72  
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W NW W S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 3 4 2 2 2 5 2 1 2 5 4 3 4 6 5 4 5 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 40 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 30 40 60 40 30 30 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.04  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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