096  
FWUS41 KBTV 121315  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
915 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK SC BK BK BK SC BK SC BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 45 45 50 50 50 55 55 45 50 50 70 65 85 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 72 74 75 71 66 64 63 66 71 74 74 70 67 65 64 66  
MAX/MIN TEMP 76 62 75 63  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 4 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 13 13 11 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 30 50 20 10 10 5 5 20 30 50 50 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE T T T R T T T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.18  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.01 0.02 0.22  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.02 0.22  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.02 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW SC SC FW FW FW FW BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 25 30 25 15 15 20 25 55 50 60 55 70 75 70 65 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 71 67 62 64 73 70 63 66 77 74 67 67 72 68 63 64 69 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 60 75 61 79 65 73 61 70  
WIND DIR SW SW S SW W N SE S SW S S S SW S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 8 10 9 9 10 10 10 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 5 0 0 5 0 0 5 10 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 60 65 50 60 70 70 60 55 65 70 80 75 85 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 64 65 66 64 63 62 61 62 64 65 65 63 62 61 60 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 61 65 60  
WIND DIR S S S SW S SW SW SW S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 10 13 16 18 19 20 19 20 20 23 17 17 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 40 20 20 20 20 20 40 50 70 70 80 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R T T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.25 0.08 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.30 0.08 0.13 0.24  
LOW END QPF 0.08 0.12 0.24  
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.12 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 15 15 10 35 25 30 30 50 55 65 80 80 80 80 65 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 64 61 57 59 67 64 60 62 70 67 64 63 65 63 60 60 63 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 55 68 58 71 62 65 59 63  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW S S SW SW S S S S S SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 12 9 10 9 8 6 10 12 13 12 11 14 16 16 13 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 50 50 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 60 65 50 50 65 65 55 50 65 70 80 75 85 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 69 72 72 69 66 64 63 65 69 71 72 68 65 64 63 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 62 72 62  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 4 6 8 9 11 12 12 12 12 11 12 11 5 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 30 20 20 20 20 20 40 50 70 70 80 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R T T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.22 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.13  
12 HOUR QPF 0.25 0.04 0.13 0.23  
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.13 0.23  
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.13 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 10 10 10 30 25 25 25 50 55 60 75 80 80 75 65 70 75  
TEMPERATURE 71 66 59 61 72 68 62 64 75 72 65 65 70 66 61 62 68 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 56 74 59 77 63 71 59 69  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW S S SW SW S S SW SW S SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 5 3 2 3 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 6 8 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 50 50 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 60 60 45 40 40 40 45 45 65 70 75 75 85 90 75  
TEMPERATURE 68 70 71 68 66 64 63 66 69 71 72 68 65 64 63 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 63 72 62  
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 10 12 14 17 17 13 17 16 19 13 12 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 30 20 10 10 20 30 40 50 70 70 80 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE R T T T R T T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.11  
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.00 0.07 0.17  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.07 0.17  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.07 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC FW FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 10 10 10 40 20 25 30 55 50 60 75 70 75 75 70 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 68 64 59 61 70 67 62 65 74 71 65 64 67 64 61 61 66 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 57 72 60 76 63 68 59 67  
WIND DIR W W SW SW W NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 6 8 10 8 8 5 5 5 8 9 10 9 9 12 12 11 10 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 50 40 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 60 65 50 60 70 70 60 55 65 70 75 70 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 69 72 72 69 66 64 63 65 68 70 71 68 66 64 63 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 62 71 63  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 13 14 18 19 18 14 14 16 18 13 13 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 40 20 20 20 10 20 30 50 70 70 70 70 50  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.27 0.10 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.34 0.10 0.09 0.21  
LOW END QPF 0.10 0.09 0.21  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.09 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW FW SC FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 10 10 10 35 25 20 30 50 55 60 75 75 75 75 65 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 70 66 59 62 72 69 62 65 75 72 66 66 70 67 63 63 67 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 57 74 60 77 64 71 61 68  
WIND DIR W W W W W N SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 9 5 6 5 5 5 8 9 9 9 9 12 12 11 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 5 0 0 5 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 50 40 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 60 65 50 55 70 70 60 55 65 70 80 75 85 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 67 69 70 66 64 63 62 63 66 67 68 65 63 62 61 63  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 61 68 61  
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW S S S S S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 9 11 14 16 17 17 16 14 16 17 10 9 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 40 20 20 20 20 20 40 50 70 70 80 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R T T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.25 0.07 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.07 0.13 0.24  
LOW END QPF 0.07 0.13 0.24  
HIGH END QPF 0.07 0.13 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 15 15 10 35 25 30 30 55 55 65 80 85 80 80 65 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 67 63 58 60 69 66 61 63 72 69 64 64 67 64 61 61 64 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 56 71 59 74 62 68 59 65  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW S S SW SW S S S S S SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 5 8 5 4 4 8 6 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 50 50 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 60 70 55 60 70 70 65 55 65 70 75 75 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 71 73 74 70 67 65 64 66 70 72 73 69 66 65 64 66  
MAX/MIN TEMP 75 63 73 63  
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 3 5 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 5 4 3 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 50 40 20 20 20 10 20 40 50 70 70 70 70 50  
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R T T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.30 0.10 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.08 0.15  
12 HOUR QPF 0.36 0.10 0.10 0.23  
LOW END QPF 0.10 0.10 0.23  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.10 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW FW SC FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 10 10 10 35 25 20 30 50 50 60 75 80 75 75 65 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 73 68 61 63 74 70 64 67 78 74 68 67 72 68 63 64 70 66  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 58 76 61 80 65 73 61 71  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 2 2 2 4 2 1 2 5 3 2 3 5 4 4 5 6 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 0 0 5 0 0 5 20 20 30 40 50 40 50 50 60 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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