883  
FWUS41 KBTV 121704  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
103 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC SC SC BK BK FW BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 45 50 35 45 40 50 55 25 55 70 70 90 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 74 73 68 67 66 65 64 69 73 73 68 68 67 66 63  
MAX/MIN TEMP 76 63 75 63  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 12 14 14 13 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 30 20 5 10 10 10 10 10 30 60 60 80 80 60  
PRECIP TYPE R T T R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.26  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.33  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.33  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 15 30 20 10 15 20 20 35 50 55 60 75 75 85 80 70 75  
TEMPERATURE 66 65 62 63 73 68 65 66 75 69 68 65 70 66 66 62 65 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 59 76 62 79 65 73 62 69  
WIND DIR SW SW S SW W N S S SW S S S SW SW S SW W N  
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 6 8 10 9 10 11 10 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 30 40 60 50 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 50 55 75 70 65 75 60 80 90 90 95 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 66 65 63 62 62 62 63 63 63 64 63 63 62 62 60  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 61 65 60  
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 18 18 20 20 21 20 21 21 25 17 16 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 30 10 10 10 20 30 40 70 80 80 80 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.22 0.10 0.04 0.13 0.10 0.23 0.15  
12 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.14 0.23 0.38  
LOW END QPF 0.14 0.23 0.38  
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.23 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW CL FW FW SC FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 15 10 5 20 20 30 20 50 50 60 65 75 80 90 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 63 61 56 61 67 64 59 64 68 65 62 63 63 61 60 59 59 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 55 69 59 70 61 66 59 61  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW SW S SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W NE  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 12 9 10 9 9 8 10 12 12 13 14 17 17 16 11 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30 50 60 50 40 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 45 40 65 60 55 65 60 75 90 90 95 90 75  
TEMPERATURE 73 71 67 65 64 63 66 68 71 71 67 65 64 63 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 77 62 72 62  
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 8 9 10 12 11 11 11 12 13 13 5 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 20 10 10 10 20 30 40 60 80 80 80 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.32 0.09 0.08 0.04 0.14 0.20 0.13  
12 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.17 0.18 0.33  
LOW END QPF 0.17 0.18 0.33  
HIGH END QPF 0.17 0.18 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 10 5 5 20 20 25 20 50 50 55 65 75 75 90 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 70 66 58 64 74 69 61 67 75 69 65 66 70 66 62 63 66 63  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 57 75 60 77 63 72 60 68  
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W N  
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 4 5 3 2 3 5 4 4 5 6 6 5 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 50 60 50 40 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 50 30 25 55 50 45 60 70 85 90 95 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 71 68 65 64 64 64 66 69 70 68 65 64 65 63 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 75 63 72 62  
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 11 14 14 16 12 16 16 19 12 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 20 5 10 10 30 20 40 60 80 80 80 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.19 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.06 0.11 0.09  
12 HOUR QPF 0.24 0.02 0.06 0.20  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.06 0.20  
HIGH END QPF 0.02 0.06 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 10 5 5 15 20 25 20 50 50 55 65 75 75 85 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 67 63 59 63 72 66 62 65 73 66 65 64 67 62 62 60 63 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 58 74 61 75 62 70 60 66  
WIND DIR W W SW W W W SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W N  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 11 8 6 5 6 5 8 9 10 10 10 13 12 11 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30 50 60 50 40 50 40 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC OV OV BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 45 50 70 70 65 70 60 75 90 85 90 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 71 71 67 65 64 63 65 67 69 70 67 65 64 64 63  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 63 70 63  
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 12 16 18 19 18 16 16 17 19 13 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 30 10 10 10 30 20 40 70 70 70 80 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE T R R R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.30 0.08 0.00 0.08 0.05 0.32 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.08 0.13 0.46  
LOW END QPF 0.08 0.13 0.46  
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.13 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 10 10 5 20 20 25 15 45 50 55 65 75 75 85 80 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 68 66 59 64 73 68 62 67 75 69 65 66 68 66 63 63 65 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 57 75 61 77 63 71 61 67  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW W N  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 9 5 5 6 5 5 8 10 9 9 10 12 12 11 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30 50 60 50 40 40 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 50 55 75 70 65 70 60 75 95 90 95 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 70 68 65 63 63 63 63 66 68 67 65 63 62 62 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 62 68 61  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 9 14 16 19 18 18 17 17 18 20 9 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 30 10 10 10 20 30 40 60 80 80 80 80 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.25 0.10 0.07 0.11 0.11 0.20 0.16  
12 HOUR QPF 0.26 0.17 0.22 0.36  
LOW END QPF 0.17 0.22 0.36  
HIGH END QPF 0.17 0.22 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW CL FW FW SC FW BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 15 10 5 20 20 30 20 50 50 60 65 75 80 90 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 66 63 56 63 70 66 59 65 72 66 63 64 66 63 61 60 62 60  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 56 72 59 74 62 68 60 64  
WIND DIR W W W W W NW S S SW SW S S SW S S SW W NE  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 10 10 9 9 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30 50 60 50 40 50 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/12/25 SUNDAY 07/13/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 50 60 80 75 75 75 60 80 90 90 95 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 74 73 69 66 64 64 66 69 72 72 68 65 65 64 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 79 63 73 63  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 4 4 5 6 6 8 9 9 8 4 4 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 30 10 10 10 30 20 40 70 70 70 80 80 50  
PRECIP TYPE T R R R T T R R R R R T  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.28 0.06 0.00 0.08 0.06 0.32 0.14  
12 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.06 0.14 0.46  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.14 0.46  
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.14 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/14/25 TUE 07/15/25 WED 07/16/25 THU 07/17/25 FRI 07/18/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 10 5 5 20 20 25 15 45 45 55 65 75 75 85 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 71 67 59 65 77 71 62 68 78 71 66 67 72 67 64 64 68 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 58 77 61 79 64 74 62 70  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW W N  
WIND (MPH) 4 2 2 2 4 2 1 2 5 3 2 3 6 5 4 5 5 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 50 60 50 40 40 50 20  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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