783
FNUS71 KBTV 272353
FWSBTV
SPOT FORECAST FOR GLEN LAKE FIRE...VT-VTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
753 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (802) 658-0207, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MODERATE RAINFALL OCCURRED AT THE SITE OF THE GLEN LAKE FIRE
OVER THE MORNING HOURS WITH A SEPARATE ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. MOST LIKELY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE BETWEEN 0.6 AND 1 INCH BASED ON AMOUNTS THAT OCCURRED IN
A 5 MILE RADIUS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
THROUGH MIDNIGHT, BUT ONLY AROUND 0.1 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL CHANCES DECREASE SHARPLY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE NEXT
CHANCES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE WILL BE A 40% CHANCE
THAT THE FIRE'S LOCATION WILL BE IN FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A
HIGHER CHANCE OF LOWER ELEVATION FOG. AS SUCH RH RECOVERIES
TONIGHT WILL BE EXCELLENT WITH NEAR 100% LIKELY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE IN CONTROL MONDAY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH MONDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH UNDER CLEAR SKIES AFTER A
PERIOD OF MORNING STATUS AS VALLEY FOG LIFTS. ANOTHER FRONT BEGINS
TO APPROACH TUESDAY WITH WINDS SWINGING SOUTHERLY AND INCREASING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM FOR THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT, 5% AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5-10 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT, 0% AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-67.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER 3 AM.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 37 30 35 45 57 64 64 65 61
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 10 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............74 73 71 70 70 69 69 68 68 67
RH..............93 97 100 100 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 8 8
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 51 47 29 27 14 13 11 11 16 16 13
WEATHER COV..... DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............67 68 69 72 74 77 79 81 83 84 85 85
RH..............100 100 100 87 82 69 64 58 51 49 48 48
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 10 9 10 10 9 9 9 8 5
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO
6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........10 15 4 5 9 14 17 18 18 19 21 25
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............83 82 77 74 72 70 68 67 66 65 65 65
RH..............53 56 69 76 81 84 87 90 90 93 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..E S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 3 5 5 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW SW S S SW SW S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 2 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 33 32 26 18 11 9 12 16 21 25 30
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
TEMP............66 67 70 74 78 82 85 87 88 89 89 88
RH..............93 97 90 82 74 65 59 55 54 52 52 54
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW W W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
FORECASTER...BOYD
REQUESTED BY...KELSEY ZAENGLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518715.0/BTV
.DELDT 07/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.HUGHES@USDA.GOV,KELSEY.ZAENGLE@VERMONT.GOV,DAN.DILLNER@VERMONT.GOV
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