721
FXUS61 KBTV 141833
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
233 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THIS WEEK, WITH MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING UNTIL FRIDAY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE
END OF THE WEEK AND FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND, BUT MEANINGFUL
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED. AFTER A COUPLE SEASONABLE DAYS,
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ON
FRIDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 233 PM EDT SUNDAY...A FEW SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT, MOST NOTABLY IN
THE EASTERN ADIRONDACKS WHERE THERE WAS LIKELY SOME CONTRIBUTION
FROM A LAKE BREEZE. THESE SHOWERS WILL FALL APART QUICKLY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW LUCKY PLACES WERE ABLE TO RECEIVE UP TO
A HALF AN INCH OF RAIN, BUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF PLACES REMAINED
DRY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DESCEND OUT OF QUEBEC TONIGHT AND IT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE CLOSE TO SEASONABLE TO START THE WEEK, BUT A WARMING TREND WILL
BEGIN ON TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL APPROACH EIGHTY IN THE BROAD VALLEYS,
BUT THE HUMIDITY WILL STAY LOW. THEREFORE, RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP OFF WELL AT NIGHT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
FORTIES AND FIFTIES. FOG WILL LIKELY OCCUR EACH NIGHT IN THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL FAVORED VALLEYS.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 233 PM EDT SUNDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL THROUGH TUESDAY. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE, SENDING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE EIGHTIES IN THE VALLEYS AND UPPER SEVENTIES IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WHILE IT WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY, SOME CIRRUS WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION OFF A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW WELL TO
OUR SOUTH.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
AS OF 233 PM EDT SUNDAY...THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER LOOKS
TO CONTINUE AS THE REGION REMAINS UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. BY MID- WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER, WITH DAYTIME HIGHS CLIMBING INTO
THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. A WEAK COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH ACROSS
THE REGION LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, USHERING IN SOME COOLER
TEMPERATURES. THIS FRONT LOOKS TO BE DEPRIVED OF MOISTURE, SO WHILE
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES ACROSS,
MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AND NO MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER CANADA BUILDS INTO THE REGION, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOW 70S THIS WEEKEND AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 30S AND 40S WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FROST ACROSS THE
REGION.
AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THROUGH 18Z MONDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS
ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON, CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY AT KSLK AND KMPV AND
POTENTIALLY KEFK AFTER 06Z, WITH BETTER CHANCES COMPARED TO THE
PREVIOUS NIGHT. FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND 13Z OR SO, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAILING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND NORTHWESTERLY, BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND/OR CALM OVERNIGHT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT KRUT.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT: VFR. PATCHY BR.
TUESDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. SLIGHT
CHANCE SHRA.
FRIDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...MYSKOWSKI
NEAR TERM...MYSKOWSKI
SHORT TERM...MYSKOWSKI
LONG TERM...KREMER
AVIATION...KREMER
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