072
FWUS41 KBTV 170443
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1242 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK BK SC SC OV SC SC FW FW BK BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 55 50 30 50 75 50 35 15 15 60 60 85 85 65
TEMPERATURE 50 57 63 61 55 55 55 54 53 60 66 64 58 58 56 51 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 52 69 45
WIND DIR S S S S S SW SW W W SW W W W NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 6 10 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40 40 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 0 0 5 5 5 15 20 30 35 40 30 45 40 35 35 55
TEMPERATURE 51 44 38 37 50 45 41 40 61 52 52 49 66 57 57 55 69 61
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 35 52 39 62 48 67 55 71
WIND DIR NW NW N NE NW E SE SE S S S S S S S S SW S
WIND (MPH) 11 8 5 4 5 3 6 8 9 10 12 10 8 9 10 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 10 20 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 3 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK SC SC BK BK BK SC FW FW BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 75 60 45 35 55 60 50 30 20 20 60 65 85 90 70
TEMPERATURE 49 54 56 56 50 49 49 49 50 56 59 58 53 53 51 48 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 47 61 42
WIND DIR S SE SE S SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 4 5 6 9 9 9 9 5 8 10 13 14 16 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40 40 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 10 0 10 10 20 15 30 30 40 45 45 35 50 40 60 60
TEMPERATURE 45 39 35 35 47 43 40 40 53 48 46 47 58 54 52 51 60 55
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 33 48 39 54 45 60 51 62
WIND DIR N N N NE NE E SE S S S S S S S SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 13 8 4 5 6 9 11 13 16 13 10 12 13 11 10 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 10 20 20 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK BK SC BK BK BK SC FW FW BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 70 55 50 35 65 60 55 25 15 20 65 70 90 90 70
TEMPERATURE 50 61 64 62 54 51 50 50 50 62 65 64 57 55 52 49 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 47 67 46
WIND DIR S SW S S S SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40 40 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 5 0 5 10 15 20 30 30 40 45 40 35 45 40 60 60
TEMPERATURE 51 42 36 36 52 45 39 42 60 54 48 49 66 57 54 54 68 59
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 33 54 36 62 47 67 52 68
WIND DIR N N N NE N E SE S S S S S SW S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 3 3 2 2 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK FW FW FW BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 75 65 60 50 60 60 60 25 10 25 65 70 90 90 75
TEMPERATURE 48 59 62 59 52 52 51 52 51 60 63 60 54 55 52 48 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 49 66 43
WIND DIR S NE E SE SW SW W W W W W W W W NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 5 2 2 2 4 6 8 8 8 5 5 6 10 10 11 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 30 30 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 5 0 5 10 15 15 25 35 40 45 40 45 45 40 50 60
TEMPERATURE 48 42 37 36 49 45 41 41 59 49 50 50 64 55 55 54 65 56
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 34 51 39 59 48 65 53 67
WIND DIR NW NW N NE N E S S S S S S SW S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 8 4 3 4 5 9 8 11 13 11 8 10 12 10 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 10 20 20 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK SC SC SC OV BK SC FW FW BK BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 70 60 45 40 50 75 50 30 20 15 55 55 70 85 65
TEMPERATURE 49 58 62 61 54 52 51 51 52 62 65 65 57 56 53 50 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 49 68 46
WIND DIR SW S SE S SW SW W W W SW W W W NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 5 4 4 4 6 8 8 6 6 4 5 6 9 10 11 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 5 0 5 5 10 15 30 30 35 40 40 35 40 35 60 55
TEMPERATURE 52 43 37 36 51 45 40 40 58 53 48 48 65 57 54 53 67 59
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 34 53 37 60 47 66 52 68
WIND DIR N NW N N NE E SW S S S SW S S S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 11 12 6 4 4 5 8 9 12 13 11 9 9 11 9 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK SC SC BK BK BK SC FW FW BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 75 55 45 40 55 60 55 30 20 20 60 70 85 90 70
TEMPERATURE 49 56 60 59 51 50 49 49 50 59 62 60 55 53 52 48 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 47 63 45
WIND DIR S S S S S SW W W W W W W W NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 9 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40 40 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 5 10 0 10 10 20 20 35 30 40 45 45 35 50 40 65 60
TEMPERATURE 48 41 36 36 49 45 41 41 57 49 47 47 63 54 53 53 64 56
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 33 51 39 57 46 63 52 65
WIND DIR N N N NE NE E SE S S S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 8 5 4 4 4 5 8 9 9 8 8 6 8 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 10 20 20 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC SC SC BK BK SC FW FW BK BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 65 65 40 35 50 65 55 30 20 15 55 55 75 85 65
TEMPERATURE 52 62 65 64 55 53 51 52 52 65 68 67 58 56 54 51 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 48 70 48
WIND DIR SW S S S SW W W W NW W W W W NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 4 3 4 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 MM
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 5 0 5 10 15 20 30 30 40 45 45 35 45 40 60 55
TEMPERATURE 54 44 37 36 54 45 39 42 62 52 48 49 68 58 54 55 70 60
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 33 56 35 63 47 68 53 70
WIND DIR N NW N N NE E S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 2 3 2 1 3 6 5 5 5 5 4 3 4 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 30
PRECIP TYPE R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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