572  
FWUS41 KBTV 171720  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
119 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV SC BK BK BK FW FW FW BK BK OV OV SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 70 40 60 60 50 20 10 20 60 65 80 80 50  
TEMPERATURE 63 63 57 56 55 53 54 61 67 65 58 57 54 47 46  
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 52 69 45  
WIND DIR S S S S SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 6 6 5 5 4 5 6 8 10 11 11 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.16  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 0 0 5 10 10 20 20 20 40 45 30 45 45 50 40 50  
TEMPERATURE 51 44 40 39 49 45 41 43 61 56 52 49 65 57 57 55 68 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 35 51 39 63 49 67 55 70  
WIND DIR NW NW N N NW NE SE SE S S S S S S S S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 11 9 6 4 5 3 5 8 9 10 13 10 9 9 10 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 2 2 2 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW BK OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 60 55 55 60 50 35 10 25 25 60 75 85 85 60  
TEMPERATURE 56 57 51 50 49 48 51 57 60 59 53 53 50 44 43  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 47 61 42  
WIND DIR SE S SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 9 9 9 9 6 9 18 25 27 28 25 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK SC SC SC OV BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 10 0 5 10 20 20 30 25 65 45 45 50 70 55 55 65  
TEMPERATURE 47 40 35 35 45 43 40 41 53 50 47 47 57 53 52 52 60 55  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 31 47 39 54 46 59 52 61  
WIND DIR NW N N N N E SE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 17 13 8 4 5 5 9 10 14 17 13 11 13 14 11 10 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 20 20 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK SC SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 50 45 55 45 30 15 20 25 60 75 90 85 60  
TEMPERATURE 64 64 57 51 49 48 52 63 66 65 57 54 52 47 46  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 47 67 45  
WIND DIR S S S SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 16 23 25 21 20 21  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL CL FW FW FW SC SC BK SC SC BK OV BK SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 10 0 5 10 15 25 25 25 60 40 45 50 70 60 50 65  
TEMPERATURE 53 44 35 36 52 45 39 40 59 55 48 49 64 58 53 54 67 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 31 54 36 62 48 66 52 68  
WIND DIR N N N N N E SE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 12 11 3 3 2 2 4 5 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 6 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 20 20 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK SC BK SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 60 55 50 60 30 20 15 40 60 75 90 90 70  
TEMPERATURE 62 59 52 52 51 50 52 61 65 60 55 54 51 45 44  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 49 65 43  
WIND DIR E SE SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 4 6 9 8 8 5 6 20 25 24 23 18 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.03 0.15  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW SC BK SC SC BK BK BK SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 10 0 5 10 15 20 20 25 50 40 40 50 60 60 50 60  
TEMPERATURE 50 40 36 35 48 44 41 42 58 54 50 50 63 54 55 54 64 56  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 31 50 39 60 49 64 53 66  
WIND DIR N N N N N NE S S S S S S SW S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 14 10 5 3 3 4 6 6 11 14 11 8 10 12 10 6 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 10 20 30 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 2 2 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW BK BK OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 60 55 55 50 40 10 15 25 55 60 75 80 55  
TEMPERATURE 62 62 55 52 51 50 53 62 66 65 57 55 53 48 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 49 67 46  
WIND DIR SE S SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 8 8 8 6 4 5 11 20 21 20 20 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 30 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW BK SC SC SC BK BK SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 25 55 40 40 45 65 50 50 60  
TEMPERATURE 53 44 37 37 51 45 40 40 58 54 48 49 62 58 53 52 65 58  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 33 53 37 60 48 64 52 67  
WIND DIR NW N N N NE NE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 11 14 13 6 4 4 4 6 9 12 14 11 9 10 11 9 6 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 20 10 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW BK OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 55 50 55 55 50 35 10 25 25 60 75 90 85 60  
TEMPERATURE 60 60 52 50 49 48 51 59 63 62 54 54 51 46 45  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 47 64 44  
WIND DIR S S S SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 17 24 27 21 20 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.02 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC SC BK SC SC SC OV BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 10 0 5 10 20 20 30 25 65 45 50 50 70 60 55 60  
TEMPERATURE 50 42 35 35 48 44 41 42 56 52 47 48 60 55 53 52 63 56  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 31 50 39 58 47 61 51 64  
WIND DIR N N N N N E SE S S S S S S S S S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 8 14 11 5 4 4 3 5 8 9 10 9 8 8 8 6 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 20 20 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/17/25 THURSDAY 09/18/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK SC FW FW FW BK BK OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 60 55 50 50 40 10 20 20 55 60 75 80 60  
TEMPERATURE 65 64 55 51 51 49 53 65 69 67 59 56 53 49 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 48 69 48  
WIND DIR S S SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW N N  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 5 5 4 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 30 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE FRI 09/19/25 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC FW BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 5 10 0 5 10 15 20 30 25 55 45 40 45 65 55 50 60  
TEMPERATURE 56 46 37 37 53 45 39 39 60 55 49 49 65 59 54 53 69 60  
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 32 55 35 63 48 67 52 70  
WIND DIR N NW N N N NE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 4 2 3 2 1 2 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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