148  
FWUS41 KBTV 180522  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
121 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK FW CL FW OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW CL CL FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 20 5 10 70 70 100 85 85 40 10 5 10 0 5 5 0  
TEMPERATURE 52 60 66 65 59 58 54 48 45 50 52 51 44 40 38 36 37  
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 43 53 35  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 5 5 9 12 12 12 11 12 12 13 11 6 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 30 40 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.07 0.28 0.01 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 15 25 20 25 30 40 50 75 80 70 55 60 65 60 60 55  
TEMPERATURE 49 46 38 38 60 52 51 48 65 57 58 56 65 57 58 55 60 53  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 37 62 47 66 56 68 55 62  
WIND DIR NW NE SE SE S S S S S S S S W NW E E NW N  
WIND (MPH) 5 3 5 6 6 9 11 10 9 9 10 8 5 5 5 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 30 30 20 30 30 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC CL FW FW SC OV OV OV OV FW FW FW CL FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 5 10 15 45 90 100 100 70 20 15 10 5 15 10 10 0  
TEMPERATURE 47 54 60 59 54 54 51 48 45 47 48 46 41 38 37 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 44 48 34  
WIND DIR NW NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 9 11 14 16 24 24 24 18 13 20 24 17 13 10 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 30 30 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.02 0.16 0.00 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 35 30 35 40 45 45 65 75 85 70 65 60 75 60 75 55  
TEMPERATURE 47 43 36 36 53 48 47 48 56 54 53 53 57 53 52 51 54 48  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 36 54 46 58 53 59 51 55  
WIND DIR N E SE SE S S S S S S SW SW W NW N NE N NE  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 8 10 13 14 13 10 13 14 12 10 10 11 11 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 40 30 30 30 40 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC CL FW FW BK OV OV OV OV SC FW FW CL FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 5 5 20 55 90 100 100 90 30 10 5 5 5 10 5 0  
TEMPERATURE 47 61 65 65 57 55 52 48 46 50 52 51 43 39 37 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 45 53 33  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW W N N N N E N NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 6 5 5 17 17 17 11 5 10 14 14 4 4 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.02 0.10 0.01 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 35 30 30 35 40 45 60 75 80 70 65 60 70 55 70 55  
TEMPERATURE 52 45 35 37 60 52 49 49 63 58 54 55 64 57 54 54 60 53  
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 35 60 47 64 53 65 52 61  
WIND DIR N E SE SE S S S S SW S SW SW W W NW NW NW NE  
WIND (MPH) 3 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 20 40 30 30 40 40 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC CL FW SC BK OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 5 5 30 55 80 100 100 100 40 10 5 5 5 10 10 0  
TEMPERATURE 46 57 63 60 54 54 52 47 43 48 50 49 42 39 37 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 42 51 34  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N N N E N N NE  
WIND (MPH) 8 5 6 9 10 10 19 17 16 14 14 18 19 12 6 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.05 0.22 0.01 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 15 25 30 25 35 35 50 55 80 80 70 60 60 70 70 60 50  
TEMPERATURE 48 44 36 36 59 49 50 50 63 55 56 54 61 54 54 52 56 49  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 36 60 49 63 54 63 52 58  
WIND DIR N E S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W N N  
WIND (MPH) 3 4 4 5 5 10 12 11 8 10 12 10 6 8 9 8 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 20 40 30 30 40 40 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK CL FW FW SC OV OV OV OV FW FW FW CL FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 5 5 15 25 75 90 100 85 20 15 10 5 10 10 10 0  
TEMPERATURE 48 60 66 65 57 56 53 49 47 51 53 52 44 39 37 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 46 54 33  
WIND DIR W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 6 4 5 8 10 11 16 18 18 12 10 13 23 20 11 9 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.05 0.01 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 30 30 30 35 35 40 60 70 80 65 60 55 70 55 70 55  
TEMPERATURE 51 45 36 37 58 53 49 49 62 58 54 55 63 57 54 54 59 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 36 60 47 64 54 65 53 61  
WIND DIR NE NE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W NW N N N  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 5 8 10 13 11 9 10 12 9 8 8 9 9 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 30 30 20 30 30 30 30 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC CL FW FW SC OV OV OV OV FW FW FW CL FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 5 10 20 50 90 100 100 75 25 15 10 5 15 10 10 0  
TEMPERATURE 46 57 63 62 55 54 52 48 45 48 49 48 42 38 36 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 44 50 33  
WIND DIR W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 9 9 9 17 18 18 10 8 16 21 18 8 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 30 30 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.03 0.21 0.00 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 35 30 35 35 45 50 65 75 85 70 70 55 75 60 75 55  
TEMPERATURE 48 43 36 36 56 50 48 48 61 54 54 53 60 55 53 51 57 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 36 58 47 61 53 62 51 58  
WIND DIR N E SE SE S S S S S S S SW W NW N NE N NE  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 3 5 6 8 9 8 8 8 9 8 8 5 6 6 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 40 30 30 40 40 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE THURSDAY 09/18/25 FRIDAY 09/19/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK CL FW FW SC BK OV OV BK FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 5 10 15 30 65 80 90 70 15 15 10 5 10 10 10 0  
TEMPERATURE 49 63 68 67 59 56 54 50 49 54 56 54 45 40 37 35 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 47 57 33  
WIND DIR NW W W W NW N NW W W NW N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 5 4 4 5 6 8 4 4 8 9 10 4 3 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 MM  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.04 0.00 MM  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 MM  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1  
 
DATE SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25 WED 09/24/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 30 30 30 35 40 45 65 75 80 70 65 55 70 60 70 55  
TEMPERATURE 53 46 35 38 61 54 49 50 65 60 55 56 66 58 55 54 63 54  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 35 63 48 67 55 68 53 63  
WIND DIR NE NE SW S S S S S S S SW SW W W NW N N N  
WIND (MPH) 3 2 1 2 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 3 2 3 5 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 30 30 20 30 30 30 30 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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