834
FWUS41 KBTV 231104
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
703 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 35 85 80 90 75 85 80 70 70 75 75 80 65 70 75 75
TEMPERATURE 38 40 42 40 39 39 38 37 35 36 38 37 35 35 35 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 34 40 32
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 13 11 10 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 80 60 50 40 40 20 40 40 50 50 30 30 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.18 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.07 0.06 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.08 0.06 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 10
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 85 75 70 65 45 50 55 45 40 40 40 40 35 50 50 65
TEMPERATURE 36 34 35 32 35 31 30 28 38 33 32 29 41 35 33 31 41 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 32 36 28 39 29 42 31 42
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E NE N NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 95 80 85 85 65 75 75 75 80 80 75 70 70 65 55
TEMPERATURE 29 30 30 30 31 30 29 27 26 28 26 27 27 27 25 26 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 26 29 24
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 26 24 20 19 17 14 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 70 40 40 30 30 30 40 40 60 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.04
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 60 80 65 50 45 55 55 50 50 50 50 60 45 70 75
TEMPERATURE 26 27 27 25 27 25 25 24 29 27 28 27 32 30 30 29 34 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 25 28 24 30 26 33 29 35
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 9 6 9 10 10 9 10 12 11 9 12 12 11 10 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 10 20 20 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R S
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 12 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 95 85 90 90 75 85 75 75 80 80 75 70 75 70 65
TEMPERATURE 33 34 35 35 34 33 30 29 29 33 33 33 31 29 27 26 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 29 34 26
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 17 14 14 10 8 6 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 70 40 40 30 30 30 50 50 60 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.04 0.05 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.16 0.05 0.05 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 11 11 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 60 80 65 45 40 55 50 50 45 50 50 55 45 65 75
TEMPERATURE 32 31 29 28 32 29 27 26 34 30 30 27 38 33 31 30 39 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 33 25 35 27 39 29 40
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 6 4 4 5 6 5 4 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 10 20 20 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R S
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 12 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 80 75 75 80 75 75 65 65 80 80 75 65 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 33 34 33 31 32 33 31 31 30 32 31 30 29 29 28 28 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 30 32 27
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 21 19 16 17 14 13 11 10 10 10 8 6 8 8 8 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 60 50 50 30 30 30 40 40 60 60 30 30 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.06 0.05 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.06 0.05 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 70 75 65 50 50 50 60 45 50 45 45 45 45 55 75
TEMPERATURE 30 29 30 27 29 27 27 26 32 28 29 29 35 31 32 30 36 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 30 26 32 28 36 30 38
WIND DIR W W W W NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E NE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 6 8 6 6 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 5 10 10 10 5 5 10 20 20 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R S
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV SC BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 90 75 70 70 50 60 65 65 80 80 65 65 65 60 45
TEMPERATURE 32 34 34 35 34 34 31 30 29 34 34 34 30 30 27 27 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 29 34 25
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 23 20 17 18 13 11 9 8 8 5 5 5 6 8 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 40 30 20 20 30 40 40 60 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.03 0.05 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.04 0.05 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 10 10 11 11 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 80 60 75 65 50 45 50 50 45 50 50 50 55 50 65 70
TEMPERATURE 32 31 30 28 32 29 28 27 34 30 30 28 37 33 32 31 38 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 33 26 35 28 38 30 39
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N N NE NE N NE NE NE
WIND (MPH) 6 6 8 6 5 6 8 9 6 9 9 9 6 9 10 9 6 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 20 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 95 85 85 90 75 85 75 75 80 80 75 70 75 65 60
TEMPERATURE 31 32 33 33 32 32 29 28 26 31 30 30 29 28 25 26 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 26 31 25
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 20 21 18 18 12 11 8 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 70 70 40 40 30 30 30 50 50 60 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.04 0.05 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.06 0.05 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.4
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 12
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK SC BK SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 60 80 65 50 40 55 50 50 45 50 50 60 45 70 75
TEMPERATURE 29 29 28 27 29 27 25 25 32 28 28 28 35 31 30 30 36 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 26 30 25 32 28 37 30 38
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 10 20 20 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 12 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 75 75 70 55 65 70 70 80 80 70 60 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 38 39 40 39 38 36 35 34 33 39 40 39 34 33 32 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 33 41 29
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 10 8 8 5 4 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 2 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 70 40 30 20 20 30 40 40 60 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.03 0.05 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 9 9 10 10 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC BK SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 80 60 75 65 50 45 50 50 45 50 50 50 55 50 65 70
TEMPERATURE 37 33 31 29 36 31 28 27 38 31 30 29 41 33 32 31 41 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 29 37 27 38 28 41 31 42
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N NE NE NE N NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 5 2 2 2 4 2 2 3 5 3 3 4 5 3 3 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 20 10 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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