272
FWUS41 KBTV 231657
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1256 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 75 85 80 85 80 60 70 80 65 65 75 75
TEMPERATURE 43 41 40 40 39 39 37 36 39 38 36 36 35 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 35 40 32
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 10 6 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 50 40 10 10 20 30 30 40 30 40 40 20 20 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.17 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.02
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.07 0.05 0.04
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.13 0.12 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.2
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 10 10 10
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 85 85 80 70 70 55 45 55 50 20 45 40 45 40 45 45 60
TEMPERATURE 37 34 36 32 36 32 29 29 38 34 32 30 40 32 33 30 40 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 32 36 28 39 30 41 30 41
WIND DIR NW NW W NW NW N N N N NE NE NE N NE E E NE NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 4 6 5 4 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 40 40 40 20 10 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 20 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 10 11 12 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 85 65 75 70 60 80 80 70 70 70 60 55
TEMPERATURE 28 29 31 31 31 31 31 29 28 29 28 27 26 26 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 31 31 26
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 20 19 13 13 12 13 12 9 9 9 11 11 11 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 20 10 20 40 30 30 50 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.06 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.05 0.07 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.09 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.5 0.8 0.5
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 8 8 8 9 9 11 11 11 11 13 13 13 13 12
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 80 70 80 60 55 50 55 50 35 45 35 40 45 40 50 60
TEMPERATURE 26 27 27 27 28 26 25 25 29 28 27 26 32 29 28 27 34 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 27 28 24 30 26 32 27 35
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 9 9 9 9 6 9 10 10 9 10 12 11 9 11 12 10 8 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 30 30 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 12 13 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 75 85 70 65 90 85 70 70 70 70 65
TEMPERATURE 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 34 35 34 31 29 28 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 33 36 28
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 14 14 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 20 10 10 50 30 40 50 60 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.04 0.08 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.07 0.09 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.4 0.5 0.4
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 11 11 12 12 12
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 80 65 80 60 50 45 55 50 30 40 40 40 40 40 50 60
TEMPERATURE 32 30 28 28 32 28 25 25 34 30 28 26 38 31 30 28 40 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 27 32 24 35 26 38 27 40
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 5 4 3 4 5 3 3 4 5 4 4 5 6 4 4 4 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 30 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 11 12 13 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 75 80 75 75 80 65 80 75 70 70 65 70 60
TEMPERATURE 31 31 33 33 33 33 33 32 32 30 29 29 28 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 33 35 28
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 16 17 11 10 8 9 9 6 5 5 8 8 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 30 20 10 30 40 20 40 60 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.06 0.04 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.09 0.10 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.4 0.6 0.2
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 80 75 75 70 60 50 45 55 35 55 35 45 45 40 45 60
TEMPERATURE 30 29 29 29 30 28 27 27 31 30 29 28 35 29 30 28 37 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 29 30 26 32 28 35 28 37
WIND DIR W W W W N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
WIND (MPH) 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 40 40 40 20 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 13 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV SC BK OV BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 70 70 50 60 75 55 80 75 60 60 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 32 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 35 34 31 30 29 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 34 37 28
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 17 18 10 9 9 9 8 5 5 5 6 8 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 10 10 20 30 30 50 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S R S S S R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.03 0.03 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.09 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.3 0.2
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 6 5 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 11 11 11
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 80 65 75 60 55 50 50 50 35 50 40 40 45 45 50 55
TEMPERATURE 33 30 29 29 33 29 27 27 34 31 29 28 37 31 30 28 38 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 28 33 26 35 28 37 28 39
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N N NE N N N NE N
WIND (MPH) 5 6 6 6 5 8 9 8 6 9 9 9 6 10 10 9 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 30 30 30 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 13 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 90 75 85 75 60 90 80 70 70 70 65 60
TEMPERATURE 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 32 31 29 28 27 27 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 32 34 27
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 18 9 8 6 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 20 20 20 10 40 30 30 50 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.22 0.04 0.08 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.09 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.2 0.7 0.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.5 0.9 0.4
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 7 6 6 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 80 65 80 60 55 50 55 50 35 45 40 40 45 40 55 60
TEMPERATURE 29 28 27 27 30 27 25 25 31 29 27 26 35 29 30 28 38 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 30 24 32 26 35 28 38
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 30 30 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 12 13 14 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/23/25 FRIDAY 10/24/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 75 70 55 65 75 55 75 75 60 55 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 41 41 40 37 37 37 36 39 41 40 35 34 32 31 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 35 41 30
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 4 3 2 3 4 4 5 4 2 2 2 2 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 20 10 10 20 30 30 50 60 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.03 0.03 0.01
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.08 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 4 4 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 9 10 10 10
DATE SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25 WED 10/29/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 80 70 80 60 50 50 50 50 30 50 40 40 45 45 50 55
TEMPERATURE 38 34 32 30 36 31 28 27 37 33 30 28 40 33 31 29 42 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 29 37 26 38 28 40 28 42
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N N NE N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 5 2 2 2 4 2 2 3 5 3 3 4 5 3 3 3 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 30 30 30 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 12 12 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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