376  
FWUS41 KBTV 121745  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1244 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 85 95 95 95 95 95 90 90 95 90 85 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 28 28 28 30 31 30 29 29 30 29 27 27 26 26 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 30 24  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 9 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 80 80 50 60 90 90 90 90 70 70 50 50 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.22 0.24 0.13  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.08 0.03  
HIGH END QPF 0.33 0.46 0.22  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.4 0.7  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 3.1 3.8 2.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.9 1.2 0.6  
HIGH END SNOW 5.3 7.3 3.6  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 75 60 80 90 90 85 90 90 85 85 90 90 85 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 26 23 23 20 24 21 26 29 32 29 28 23 24 23 24 22 25 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 20 26 21 33 22 26 22 27  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW SE SE SE W W W W W W W W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 10 10 11 12 16 16 12 16 17 14 14 16 13 11 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 20 10 20 40 70 90 80 90 80 80 70 50 30 40 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.02  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.3  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 16 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 90 95 90 90 80 90 85 85 85 85 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 21 24 25 26 24 24 20 20 20 19 19 19 21 20 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 20 20 19  
WIND DIR SW W W W W W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 13 12 17 20 21 19 17 17 16 14 20 23 19 17 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 50 50 50 70 70 50 50 50 50 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.19 0.10 0.07  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.12 0.08  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.9 1.6 1.2  
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.5 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 3.5 1.9 1.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 75 60 60 85 100 95 85 85 95 90 85 90 90 75 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 20 18 18 15 20 20 26 28 27 25 23 17 17 18 19 17 18 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 15 26 20 28 15 19 17 20  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S S W W W W W NW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 13 18 18 17 12 18 23 23 21 36 37 28 23 31 27 21 14 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 20 40 70 80 70 70 70 50 40 30 30 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z Z S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 95 95 95 90 80 90 85 90 85 85 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 26 27 28 29 27 26 24 25 26 25 23 22 23 22 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 26 21  
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 9 9 9 8 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 50 50 50 70 70 50 50 50 50 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.20 0.08 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.24 0.10 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.6 3.0 1.3 0.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.5 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 3.6 1.6 1.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 75 70 60 85 95 90 85 85 90 85 85 90 90 80 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 25 21 19 17 25 22 27 32 33 28 24 20 21 21 21 19 24 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 17 27 21 33 20 23 19 25  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S S W W W W W W W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 6 8 8 8 10 11 17 17 13 11 13 11 10 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 34 35 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 10 40 70 80 70 80 70 50 40 30 30 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 16 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 95 90 90 90 90 85 85 90 85 80 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 26 25 27 29 27 27 24 23 24 22 22 21 23 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 24 21  
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 9 12 13 13 13 12 12 11 11 14 16 13 12 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 70 90 60 60 60 80 80 70 70 60 60 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.04 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.16 0.08 0.05  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.04 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.13 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 2.2 1.2 0.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.6 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 3.4 2.0 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 13 13 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 80 65 55 85 95 95 85 85 90 90 85 90 90 80 70 85  
TEMPERATURE 24 19 20 17 23 22 27 32 31 26 25 21 20 20 21 19 22 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 17 27 22 32 20 22 19 23  
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 13 11 10 10 14 17 17 14 27 27 20 16 23 19 16 11 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 10 5 20 40 70 90 80 80 70 60 60 40 30 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 75 70 75 80 80 85 80 75 75 75 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 26 27 28 28 26 26 24 25 26 24 23 23 23 22 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 26 20  
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 9 12 13 13 12 11 10 10 10 12 13 13 11 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 80 40 50 50 70 70 60 60 40 40 30 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.12 0.06 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.07 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.6  
LOW END SNOW 0.5 0.3 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 1.9 1.1 0.7  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 13 13 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 65 55 50 80 95 90 85 80 90 85 80 80 85 70 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 25 21 19 16 25 21 27 30 31 27 25 21 22 21 21 19 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 16 27 21 32 21 24 19 25  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W SW S S W W W W W NW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 13 13 12 8 13 18 16 13 24 25 19 14 21 19 14 9 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 10 40 70 80 70 70 70 50 40 30 30 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 16 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 95 95 90 80 90 85 90 90 90 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 24 25 26 27 26 25 23 22 23 22 21 20 22 21 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 23 23 19  
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 9 10 12 12 11 10 11 11 10 12 13 11 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 50 50 50 70 70 50 50 50 50 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.19 0.10 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.12 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 1.7 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.0 3.2 1.5 1.1  
LOW END SNOW 1.0 0.5 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 3.8 1.8 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 75 65 60 85 100 90 90 85 95 90 90 90 90 75 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 23 19 18 15 22 21 26 30 30 25 23 19 19 19 20 19 21 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 15 26 21 30 19 21 19 23  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S S W W W W W NW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 11 10 10 9 11 12 12 14 23 21 17 16 18 16 13 10 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 20 40 70 80 70 70 70 50 40 30 30 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z Z S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 90 85 70 80 85 80 85 80 75 75 75 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 29 29 29 29 28 27 26 29 30 28 26 25 24 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 26 30 21  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 40 50 50 70 70 50 50 40 40 30 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.13 0.06 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.02 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.16 0.07 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 1.8 1.0 0.6  
LOW END SNOW 0.6 0.3 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 1.2 0.7  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 17 17 17  
 
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 65 55 50 80 95 90 85 80 90 85 80 80 85 70 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 28 22 20 17 26 23 28 32 34 28 26 22 24 22 22 21 26 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 17 28 23 34 22 26 20 28  
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W SW S S W W W W W NW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 6 6 5 8 9 9 12 16 11 10 11 10 9 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 35 28 28  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 10 10 5 10 40 70 80 70 70 70 50 40 30 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 16 15 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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