890
FWUS41 KBTV 121816
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
115 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 95 90 85 90 90 95 95 90 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 29 28 30 31 29 27 28 29 28 27 27 27 26 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 29 24
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 10 8 6 6 5 5 6 6 9 9 9 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 90 80 50 50 70 70 70 80 70 70 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.15 0.15 0.19 0.26 0.14 0.08
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.30 0.45 0.22
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.08 0.03
HIGH END QPF 0.33 0.46 0.22
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.2 2.3 1.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 3.8 7.3 3.6
LOW END SNOW 0.9 1.2 0.6
HIGH END SNOW 5.3 7.3 3.6
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 11 11 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 85 80 65 80 95 90 90 90 95 90 85 90 90 85 80 85
TEMPERATURE 26 23 22 20 25 22 27 29 30 27 26 23 24 24 26 22 25 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 20 27 22 31 22 26 22 27
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W SE SE S W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 8 6 8 10 11 9 12 14 14 16 14 13 10 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 20 10 20 50 80 90 80 80 70 70 60 40 30 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S I Z Z S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.3
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 14 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 90 80 80 95 85 85 90 90 80 70
TEMPERATURE 25 24 26 24 23 20 20 20 19 19 20 20 20 18
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 20 21 18
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 18 23 23 20 17 16 14 17 21 21 20 19 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 60 70 50 40 30 30 40 40 50 40 40 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.07 0.05 0.02
12 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.16 0.10 0.07
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.12 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.9 0.6 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 2.5 1.8 1.1
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.5 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 3.5 1.9 1.4
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 17 17 18 18 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 80 65 60 90 100 95 85 95 95 85 85 90 90 80 80 85
TEMPERATURE 18 18 17 15 20 22 26 26 25 22 21 16 16 18 20 18 19 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 15 26 22 26 15 20 18 21
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 18 17 14 9 12 17 19 18 27 31 29 23 31 26 20 12 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 5 20 60 80 80 70 70 60 40 30 20 20 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 13 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 90 95 95 85 80 90 90 90 90 90 85 75
TEMPERATURE 27 28 29 27 26 24 25 26 25 23 23 23 22 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 26 21
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 10 10 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 50 40 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.12 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.15 0.08 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.24 0.10 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.6
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.5 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 3.6 1.6 1.1
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 14 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 85 65 60 90 100 90 85 95 95 85 85 90 90 80 80 85
TEMPERATURE 25 21 19 17 25 23 28 31 31 24 23 20 21 21 21 19 24 23
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 17 27 23 32 20 22 19 25
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 6 6 4 5 9 10 12 13 14 12 13 11 10 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 5 20 60 80 80 70 70 50 40 30 20 20 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 12 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 95 85 85 90 90 85 90 85 85 75
TEMPERATURE 26 27 28 27 26 24 24 24 22 22 23 23 23 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 25 21
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 13 16 14 13 11 11 10 11 16 14 13 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 80 60 50 40 40 50 50 60 50 50 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.11 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.02
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.16 0.07 0.07
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.04 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.13 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 2.1 1.1 1.3
LOW END SNOW 0.9 0.6 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 3.4 2.0 1.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 13 13 16 16 17 17 18 18 17 17 18 18 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 85 85 70 55 90 100 95 90 95 95 90 80 90 90 80 75 85
TEMPERATURE 23 19 19 17 24 23 28 30 28 23 23 20 20 20 22 21 22 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 17 28 23 30 19 22 19 24
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W S S W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 10 13 10 10 6 10 11 13 11 20 23 20 16 23 19 14 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 20 5 20 60 80 80 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 13 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 80 80 90 75 85 90 80 65 80 75 70 60
TEMPERATURE 27 27 28 27 26 24 25 26 24 23 22 22 22 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 26 20
WIND DIR SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 13 16 14 13 10 10 9 10 13 14 13 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 70 40 40 30 30 40 40 50 40 40 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.07 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.5 0.3 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 1.9 1.1 0.7
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 13 13 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 70 60 50 85 95 90 85 85 90 80 80 75 80 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 25 20 19 17 25 23 27 30 30 24 23 21 21 21 21 19 24 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 17 27 23 31 21 22 19 24
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 13 13 10 6 9 13 14 11 19 21 20 14 20 18 13 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 20 60 80 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 20 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 13 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 90 85 80 95 90 90 90 90 80 75
TEMPERATURE 26 26 27 25 24 23 22 23 22 21 22 21 21 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 23 24 19
WIND DIR W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 13 13 12 10 10 10 10 13 13 11 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 70 50 40 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.16 0.10 0.05
LOW END QPF 0.06 0.03 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.12 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 1.9 0.6 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 2.5 1.9 0.9
LOW END SNOW 1.0 0.5 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 3.8 1.8 1.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 85 65 60 90 100 95 90 95 95 85 85 90 90 80 85 85
TEMPERATURE 22 18 18 16 23 22 26 29 28 23 22 19 19 19 21 19 21 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 16 27 22 29 19 20 19 23
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 10 11 10 9 6 6 10 11 11 17 18 17 14 18 14 12 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 5 20 60 80 80 70 70 60 40 30 20 20 10 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 13 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 80 90 90 75 80 90 85 75 75 75 70 60
TEMPERATURE 30 29 30 28 27 25 29 30 28 26 24 23 22 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 25 30 21
WIND DIR SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 60 70 40 40 30 30 40 40 50 40 40 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.09 0.02 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.02 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.16 0.07 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.6 0.3 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 1.2 0.7
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 13 13 15 15 16 16 17 17 16 16 17 17 18
DATE FRI 11/14/25 SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 70 55 55 85 95 90 85 85 90 80 80 80 85 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 27 21 20 18 27 24 28 32 33 26 24 22 24 22 23 21 26 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 18 28 24 34 22 25 20 27
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 3 5 8 8 10 11 12 10 10 10 8 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 29 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 5 20 60 80 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 20 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 15 13 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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