605  
FWUS41 KBTV 131057  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
556 AM EST THU NOV 13 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 95 95 95 95 85 80 80 85 90 85 85 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 29 29 29 28 26 27 27 26 25 23 26 24 23 24 24 21 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 23 26 19  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 5 6 6 9 9 9 9 8 9 10 9 10 10 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 70 70 70 40 50 30 60 60 40 40 30 30 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.14 0.07 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.54 0.21 0.09 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.1 1.2 0.5  
LOW END SNOW 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 8.8 2.9 1.5 0.6  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 17 17 15 15 13  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 95 95 95 90 85 85 85 85 90 85 85 80 85 85 75 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 25 25 30 32 31 25 24 21 23 23 25 24 25 24 25 23 27 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 25 33 21 25 23 27 23 29  
WIND DIR W SE S S W W W W W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 6 9 13 12 12 14 16 16 17 17 14 13 11 10 8 6 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 70 90 90 80 80 80 70 60 50 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE I Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.66  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.7  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.14  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 5 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 90 90 90 85 75 75 60 80 75 80 80 80 60 55  
TEMPERATURE 19 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 14  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 18 18 14  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 23 25 25 26 28 28 27 26 25 21 20 20 18 18 17 14 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 40 60 60 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 14 14 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 95 100 90 85 85 90 80 80 85 85 75 75 80 85 75 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 22 23 29 28 25 20 19 15 15 18 19 18 19 18 19 19 20 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 23 28 14 19 18 21 18 22  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 8 13 21 23 23 32 33 31 26 34 28 24 14 18 17 14 10 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 70 60 60 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.37  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.5  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.10  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 4 5 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 70 80 80 85 85 80 65 60  
TEMPERATURE 25 25 26 25 23 21 20 21 20 22 23 22 20 19 19 17 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 20 23 16  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W  
WIND (MPH) 12 14 14 16 18 18 16 16 16 16 14 14 6 6 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 40 70 60 20 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.04 0.05 0.02  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 1.7 0.5 0.6 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 17 17 14 14 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 95 100 90 85 85 85 80 80 90 85 80 75 85 85 75 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 27 25 31 33 30 23 20 19 20 21 21 19 24 22 21 20 26 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 25 33 18 21 19 25 19 27  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 9 10 11 14 14 14 13 14 12 10 9 8 6 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 32 32 32 31 33  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 60 60 60 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.09  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 3 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 90 95 90 85 80 80 65 75 75 80 85 80 70 60  
TEMPERATURE 22 23 23 23 21 20 20 21 20 22 22 17 17 19 20 18 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 20 22 16  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 17 20 19 24 25 23 21 20 19 18 18 17 13 12 10 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 40 50 50 40 20 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.05 0.04 0.02  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 14 14 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 95 100 90 85 90 85 85 75 90 85 80 70 80 80 75 75 85  
TEMPERATURE 25 25 32 31 27 21 21 19 19 20 22 21 22 20 22 22 24 22  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 25 31 19 21 20 24 20 26  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 10 16 17 16 23 24 23 18 25 21 17 11 13 12 10 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 80 70 60 50 40 30 30 20 20 20 30 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.40  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.09  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 4 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 85 80 80 70 55 50 50 70 75 60 65 60 55 50  
TEMPERATURE 24 25 25 24 21 20 20 20 20 22 23 21 19 19 19 17 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 20 23 16  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 14 16 16 19 23 24 23 23 21 19 17 18 13 13 12 11 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 30 40 50 30 20 20 30 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.09 0.03 0.03 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 1.4 0.4 0.5 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 17 17 14 14 12  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 100 85 85 75 80 75 75 70 75 70 70 70 80 70 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 25 25 30 33 28 24 21 19 19 20 21 19 24 21 21 20 25 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 25 33 19 21 19 26 20 27  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 11 17 16 14 21 23 21 17 23 20 16 10 12 11 10 6 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 70 60 60 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.33  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.09  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 3 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 75 65 80 80 80 80 80 60 55  
TEMPERATURE 22 23 23 22 21 19 19 19 19 20 20 18 18 18 18 16 14  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 19 20 14  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 19 19 20 24 24 21 20 20 19 18 18 10 10 10 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 40 60 60 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.02  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.3 0.6 0.7 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 14 14 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 95 100 90 90 85 90 80 80 85 85 80 75 80 85 75 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 24 25 29 31 27 21 19 18 18 19 20 19 21 20 20 19 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 25 31 17 20 19 23 19 25  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 5 9 12 13 14 19 18 18 17 20 17 13 10 11 10 9 8 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 36 36 34 39  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 70 60 60 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.37  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.4  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.10  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 3 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC OV OV BK BK BK BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 90 85 75 70 55 50 50 70 70 65 60 65 55 50  
TEMPERATURE 28 29 30 28 26 25 23 22 21 25 27 24 22 21 19 19 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 21 27 17  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 50 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.09 0.03 0.03 0.01  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 14 14 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/15/25 SUN 11/16/25 MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 95 95 85 85 80 80 75 75 75 75 70 70 75 80 70 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 29 26 31 34 31 24 22 20 23 22 22 21 26 23 22 21 28 24  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 26 35 20 24 21 28 20 29  
WIND DIR SW S S W W W W W W W W W W W W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 8 9 10 11 13 13 11 12 11 9 6 5 4 5 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 32 31 32  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 80 90 80 70 60 60 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.33  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.08  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 3 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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