959
FXUS61 KBTV 181748
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1248 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW AND A PROLONGED PERIOD OF UPSLOPE
SNOW ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREENS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. SNOW SHOWERS HAVE TAPERED OFF AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS
FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH SOME CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
RETURNING FRIDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 1213 PM EST TUESDAY...UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS HAVE COME TO
AN END, AND WE ARE SEEING SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WITH SOME
WELCOME SUNSHINE FOR PARTS OF THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE IS
BEGINNING TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA AND WILL REMAIN THROUGH MID
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING COOLER THAN SEASONAL NORMALS;
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN PRIMARILY IN THE 30S WARMING TO
AROUND 40 DEGREES FOR BROADER VALLEYS BY WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS
RANGING FROM THE TEENS TO THE 20S.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 1213 PM EST TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING THURSDAY
AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING SYSTEM WITH FLOW TURNING SOUTHERLY
BUT REMAINING LIGHT. HIGHS WILL LIKELY RANGE IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOW/MID 40S, COMPARATIVELY MILD GIVEN RECENT CONDITIONS, AND
CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO NOT BE AS
COOL WITH CLOUD COVER INCREASING AND AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERLY
FLOW, LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. PRECIPITATION SHOULD
HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 12Z FRIDAY.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AS OF 1246 PM EST TUESDAY...AFTER A RELATIVELY QUIET AND DRY WEEK,
WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE
PASSES WELL TO OUR NORTH AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES ACROSS THE
REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY FALL AS PLAIN RAIN, ALTHOUGH A
FEW ISOLATED POCKETS OF SNOW AND/OR WINTRY MIX CANNOT BE RULED OUT
IN SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SOME COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND
THE SYSTEM, WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR ANOTHER PERIOD OF SOME UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS. AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, UNSETTLED YET SEASONABLE
CONDITIONS LOOK TO AVAIL, WITH SEVERAL CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER. TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THIS TIME
PERIOD WILL BE RATHER SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 20S.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...A MIX OF MVFR AND VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS DRIER CONDITIONS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE AREA. MVFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
AGAIN AFTER 00Z. HEADING INTO TOMORROW MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED
IN REGARDS TO CEILINGS, ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL CLEARING IS EXPECTED,
WITH MOST TERMINALS TRENDING TOWARDS VFR BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY BETWEEN
5 TO 12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS BETWEEN 15 TO 20
KNOTS. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE AFTER 00Z.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: MAINLY MVFR, WITH AREAS VFR POSSIBLE. DEFINITE RA.
FRIDAY NIGHT: MAINLY MVFR, WITH LOCAL IFR POSSIBLE. CHANCE SHRA.
SATURDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA.
EQUIPMENT
NOAA WEATHER RADIO STATION WXM-44, TRANSMITTING FROM MT.
ASCUTNEY, VERMONT, ON FREQUENCY 162.475 MHZ IS NON-OPERATIONAL
AT THIS TIME. NWS TECHNICIANS HAVE DIAGNOSED THE PROBLEM, BUT
REPAIRS WILL LIKELY NOT BE ABLE TO OCCUR FOR QUITE SOME TIME DUE
TO CIRCUMSTANCES BEYOND OUR CONTROL. THEREFORE, THE TIME OF
RETURN TO SERVICE IS CURRENTLY UNKNOWN. THE FOLLOWING NOAA
WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS MAY BE ABLE TO PROVIDE SERVICE DURING
THIS OUTAGE: WWG 50 FROM BURKE MTN, VT AT 162.425 MHZ AND WNG
546 FROM HANOVER, NH AT 162.525 MHZ.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...KREMER
AVIATION...KREMER
EQUIPMENT...TEAM BTV
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