779  
FWUS41 KBTV 261045  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
544 AM EST WED NOV 26 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 75 85 80 95 65 40 20 40 70 75 80 80 85 85 95  
TEMPERATURE 38 40 43 44 42 41 34 31 28 28 31 28 27 28 27 26 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 28 31 22  
WIND DIR S S S S S SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 8 8 11 13 13 14 17 21 21 21 20 20 19 18 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 20 30 40 80 40 10 10 10 30 30 50 50 80 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.01 0.20 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.21 0.00 0.10  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.28 0.07 0.18  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.7 1.2 3.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 2 2 10 10 16 16 15 15 17 17 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 80 65 55 75 85 90 90 85 75 75 75 80 70 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 23 21 22 19 22 17 17 20 25 28 33 29 27 22 20 16 21 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 18 23 16 33 26 31 16 23  
WIND DIR W W W W W W SE SE S S S SW W W NW W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 24 21 19 11 5 6 11 13 17 13 10 9 10 10 9 8 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 41 40  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 50 10 0 10 40 60 80 70 50 50 50 40 50 50 60 50  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.06  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.5 1.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 80 85 85 90 70 80 85 75 80 80 90 90 95 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 36 36 38 38 38 30 23 21 19 20 20 19 20 21 20 19 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 19 21 14  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 12 9 8 9 20 32 35 36 36 39 36 37 42 40 36 35 36  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 50 50 30 10 10 20 20 50 50 70 70 80 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05 0.16 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.08  
12 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.16 0.07 0.17  
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.18 0.19 0.14 0.20  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.6  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 6 6 14 14 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 75 55 60 90 90 90 95 95 80 75 85 90 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 15 15 14 12 12 11 13 16 18 25 27 22 19 14 14 10 13 12  
MAX/MIN TEMP 15 11 13 11 27 18 22 9 15  
WIND DIR W W W W W W S S S S SW W W W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 32 44 39 31 16 10 10 18 18 26 24 18 12 16 14 13 11 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 20 0 0 5 30 50 80 60 50 40 50 40 40 50 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.02  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.3  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 19 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 75 80 80 90 70 75 80 75 80 80 90 90 90 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 37 39 42 42 40 31 26 25 24 25 26 24 23 23 22 21 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 23 26 19  
WIND DIR S S SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 9 16 16 16 17 18 17 18 18 17 14 14 16  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 34 35 37 39 37 37 39 36 33 33 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 50 60 30 10 10 30 30 50 50 70 70 80 80 80  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.06 0.18 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.08  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.18 0.08 0.19  
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.23  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.9 1.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 1.3 3.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 6 6 14 14 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 85 80 55 60 85 90 90 95 95 80 75 80 85 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 19 17 16 14 18 12 13 18 24 28 29 25 24 17 16 12 18 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 14 18 11 29 22 26 11 19  
WIND DIR W W W W W SW S S S S SW W W W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 20 16 13 9 4 3 8 9 10 10 8 6 5 5 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 39 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 20 10 0 0 5 30 50 80 60 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.02  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.4  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 75 75 75 90 50 55 65 65 70 75 90 90 90 95 90  
TEMPERATURE 37 38 41 42 39 33 27 26 24 25 26 23 23 24 23 22 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 24 26 18  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 6 16 28 28 28 27 28 26 31 32 28 27 26 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 30 60 30 10 10 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 90  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.02 0.10 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.10 0.05 0.11  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.13  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 5 5 13 13 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 85 85 55 60 85 95 90 90 90 80 75 80 85 80 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 19 17 17 15 17 14 16 19 23 27 30 26 22 17 17 14 17 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 15 17 14 30 22 26 13 19  
WIND DIR W W W W W SW S SE S S SW W W W W SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 21 35 29 23 11 9 6 11 12 20 17 13 9 12 10 10 8 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 20 0 0 10 40 50 80 70 50 40 50 40 50 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.02  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.4  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 70 90 85 80 40 65 80 70 70 75 85 90 90 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 38 39 41 42 40 33 27 25 24 24 26 24 23 23 22 22 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 23 26 19  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 6 6 16 26 28 27 26 27 24 27 29 28 26 26 25  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 40 50 30 10 10 20 20 40 40 60 60 70 70 90  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.03 0.12 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.06  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.12 0.05 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.03  
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.14 0.11 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 4 4 13 13 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 80 70 40 55 85 90 85 90 90 80 70 80 85 75 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 20 18 17 15 18 13 15 18 22 27 29 26 24 17 17 13 17 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 15 18 13 29 22 27 12 19  
WIND DIR W W W W W W S S S S SW W W W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 20 31 27 21 10 8 8 13 13 19 17 13 9 11 11 9 8 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 10 0 0 5 30 50 80 60 40 40 40 40 40 50 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.01  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.2  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 19 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 80 85 85 90 75 80 85 80 85 85 90 90 95 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 37 38 40 40 39 30 25 23 22 22 22 23 22 22 21 20 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 22 23 16  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 6 13 21 21 23 23 24 24 23 25 23 20 20 20  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 41 43 41 41 43 42 39 39 40  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 50 60 30 10 10 20 20 50 50 70 70 80 80 80  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.06 0.17 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.08  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.17 0.07 0.18  
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.05  
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.20 0.15 0.22  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.2  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.9  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 6 6 14 14 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 80 60 60 90 90 90 95 100 80 80 85 90 75 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 17 16 15 13 15 11 13 17 21 26 28 24 21 16 15 11 15 13  
MAX/MIN TEMP 17 13 15 11 28 20 25 11 17  
WIND DIR W W W W W W SE S S S SW W W W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 26 21 18 10 5 5 10 12 14 13 10 9 10 9 8 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 41 47 42 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 20 0 0 5 30 50 80 60 50 40 40 40 40 50 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.02  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.4  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/26/25 THURSDAY 11/27/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 75 85 85 80 45 70 80 70 75 75 85 85 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 37 40 43 43 41 34 28 26 25 27 28 27 24 25 23 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 25 28 21  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 3 5 13 14 13 16 17 14 14 14 16 14 14 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 35 37 37 39 39 37 37 37 39 35 35 35  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 30 40 50 30 10 10 20 20 40 40 60 60 70 70 90  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.04 0.13 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.06  
12 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.13 0.06 0.13  
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04  
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.16 0.12 0.16  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.6  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 4 4 13 13 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17  
 
DATE FRI 11/28/25 SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 75 70 45 55 80 90 85 90 90 80 70 75 80 75 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 22 20 18 16 20 14 16 19 26 28 30 25 27 19 18 14 20 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 16 20 14 30 23 29 13 21  
WIND DIR W W W W W W S S S S SW W W W W W SW W  
WIND (MPH) 12 16 13 11 6 2 2 6 9 9 8 5 5 4 4 4 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 40 39 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 10 0 0 5 30 50 80 60 40 40 40 40 40 50 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.01  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.2  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 19 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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