095  
FWUS41 KBTV 270606  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
105 AM EST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 75 75 80 80 75 65 95 95 100 90 90 85 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 27 28 30 28 27 27 26 26 24 23 24 22 21 22 22 21 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 23 25 19  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 17 20 19 16 17 17 17 17 14 16 16 18 20 21 20 20 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 20 20 30 30 50 90 90 100 90 70 70 50 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.13 0.08 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.12  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.03  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.11 0.23 0.13  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.8  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.6  
HIGH END SNOW 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 19 19 20 20 20  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 70 90 95 90 75 75 65 70 70 75 65 55 60 65 65 70  
TEMPERATURE 22 18 18 22 23 30 32 23 21 14 13 12 18 14 15 15 21 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 18 32 20 26 11 19 14 23  
WIND DIR W W SE SE SE S SW W W NW N SE S S S S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 13 5 5 13 16 20 18 14 12 10 8 6 6 8 8 9 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 70 90 90 60 40 30 20 20 40 40 40 20 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 19 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 85 90 90 85 85 90 90 90 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 18 18 18 18 20 19 18 18 15 15 15 14 14 16 15 15 13  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 13 17 12  
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 35 35 35 37 40 39 35 33 29 31 32 39 44 40 36 35 29  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 50 70 80 90 90 90 80 80 80 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.11 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.20 0.12 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.09 0.25 0.11 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.4 1.9 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 1.4 4.7 2.0 1.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 19 19 20  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK OV OV BK BK OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 90 90 95 95 90 80 70 70 70 70 70 55 65 75 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 13 11 12 17 16 25 26 15 13 6 6 6 10 9 8 9 14 13  
MAX/MIN TEMP 14 11 26 12 16 4 12 7 16  
WIND DIR W W S SE S S SW W W NW W S S SW W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 17 10 9 20 21 33 32 26 17 16 13 11 10 12 14 13 12 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 70 90 70 40 30 20 10 20 30 40 30 10 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 90 90 95 95 95 95 90 85 85 90 90 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 22 24 25 24 23 22 21 21 19 19 20 18 17 17 17 17 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 19 20 16  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 20 21 21 23 23 21 20 18 17 18 19 23 25 17 14 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 40 39 35 33 32  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 30 50 80 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.12 0.04 0.07 0.04 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.21 0.11 0.05  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.09 0.26 0.11 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.0 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.5 1.9 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 1.6 4.7 1.9 1.2  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 19 19 19 19 20  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 85 90 95 90 90 80 70 70 65 70 70 55 65 75 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 19 14 14 18 22 28 28 19 18 9 7 7 16 11 10 11 20 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 13 28 18 21 5 17 9 20  
WIND DIR W W S SE S S SW W W NW SW SE S S W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 4 3 9 10 12 13 11 9 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 70 90 70 40 30 20 10 20 30 40 30 10 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 65 80 85 85 85 85 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 22 24 24 22 23 24 23 23 20 20 19 16 17 18 18 19 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 18 20 16  
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 35 34 33 35 35 33 32 27 26 27 29 35 39 31 28 26 21  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 30 50 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.13 0.07 0.05  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.07 0.18 0.12 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 2.2 1.3 0.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 1.1 3.3 2.1 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 80 95 95 90 85 80 65 70 60 75 65 55 65 75 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 19 15 16 19 21 28 29 18 17 10 9 9 16 11 13 13 18 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 15 29 16 20 7 17 10 20  
WIND DIR W W S SE S S SW W W W SW SE S S W SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 12 9 5 12 14 24 24 19 12 12 9 8 6 10 10 10 9 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 70 90 80 50 30 30 20 20 30 40 30 10 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 70 80 85 85 85 85 90 90 85 85 85 85 80 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 22 23 24 23 23 23 22 21 20 19 20 18 17 18 17 18 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 19 20 16  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 29 29 28 29 29 29 27 26 20 23 23 28 33 28 26 25 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 40 60 70 70 70 80 70 60 60 30 30 20 20 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.12 0.06 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.17 0.09 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 2.0 0.8 0.6  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 0.8 2.9 1.5 0.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 19  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 85 90 95 90 80 75 60 65 60 75 70 55 55 70 60 75  
TEMPERATURE 20 15 15 19 21 27 28 19 18 10 9 9 14 12 10 11 18 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 14 28 18 21 7 16 9 20  
WIND DIR W W S S S S SW W W NW NW S S W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 11 6 6 16 14 24 24 18 11 11 9 8 6 10 10 9 9 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 70 90 70 40 30 20 10 20 30 40 20 10 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 90 90 90 95 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 95 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 21 21 21 22 21 20 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 16 17 14  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 26 26 27 29 29 29 27 25 23 24 25 31 33 23 20 19 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 44 41 37 37  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 30 50 70 90 90 90 90 80 80 80 40 40 30 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.10 0.12 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.22 0.12 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.26 0.12 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.6 1.9 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 1.6 4.8 2.1 1.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 19 19 20  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 90 90 95 95 95 85 70 70 70 70 70 55 65 75 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 17 12 13 17 19 26 27 17 16 8 7 7 14 9 10 10 17 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 17 12 27 15 18 5 15 8 18  
WIND DIR W W S SE S S SW W W W SW S S S W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 11 5 5 12 13 19 19 14 11 10 8 6 6 6 9 8 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 30 70 90 70 40 30 20 10 20 30 40 30 10 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/27/25 FRIDAY 11/28/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 75 85 90 80 85 85 90 90 85 80 85 80 80 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 24 26 27 26 25 24 23 23 21 22 22 20 19 19 19 19 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 21 22 17  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 13 14 13 11 12 13 12 12 11 12 11 12 14 14 13 13 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 39 39 34 34 33 31 32 28 29 29 32 35 36 34 34 28  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 40 60 70 80 80 80 70 70 70 30 30 20 20 0  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.15 0.06 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.16 0.09 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 2.3 0.9 0.6  
LOW END SNOW 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 0.8 2.7 1.5 0.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 19  
 
DATE SAT 11/29/25 SUN 11/30/25 MON 12/01/25 TUE 12/02/25 WED 12/03/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 80 90 95 90 80 75 65 65 60 75 70 55 55 70 65 75  
TEMPERATURE 22 16 16 19 23 28 29 21 21 11 9 9 18 12 12 12 22 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 15 29 20 23 7 19 10 23  
WIND DIR W W S S S S SW W W NW NW S S W W W SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 2 1 8 9 11 12 10 6 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 32  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 60 90 70 40 30 20 10 20 30 40 20 10 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 18 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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