356
FXUS61 KBTV 300548
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1248 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AS OF 1247 AM EST FRIDAY...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 1247 AM EST FRIDAY...
1. COLD TEMPERATURES AND A COUPLE CHANCES OF SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
2. QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 1247 AM EST FRIDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1: LARGE SCALE TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT THERE WILL BE NO SIGNIFICANT STORM
SYSTEMS. THE NOR'EASTER WILL STAY WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST,
SO NO SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE REGION FROM IT. ITS ONLY EFFECTS
LOOK TO BE INCREASED NORTHERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY AND A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE REST OF THE NIGHT
AND INTO THE DAY TODAY AS MOISTURE DESCENDS FROM THE NORTHEAST
AS PART OF WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION. A FEW OF THESE COULD LINGER
INTO SATURDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS. DUE TO A RELATIVELY STATIONARY
PATTERN, THE AIR WAS ABLE TO WRAP AROUND OFF THE NORTH ATLANTIC
AND DOWN THROUGH QUEBEC SO IT WILL TECHNICALLY BE MARINE
MODIFIED. THE COLDEST DAY WILL BE TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS FOR MOST PLACES. HIGHS OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE IN THE
TEENS FOR MOST PLACES, AND LOWS LOOK TO BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO, BUT THEY COULD END BEING A BIT LOWER IF
THERE ARE LESS LOW CLOUDS AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS ABLE TO
DECOUPLE.
KEY MESSAGE 2: ONLY VERY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO
LOWER 20S, AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO. SOME INDICATIONS THAT AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
COULD BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND MAYBE TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
SEASONAL NORMALS LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...A MIX OF VFR/MVFR EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. MVFR MOST FAVORED AT KSLK/KEFK/KMPV WHERE OCCASIONAL
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING FRIDAY.
WINDS GENERALLY WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FROM 6-12 KTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD, OCCASIONALLY GUSTY TO 15-18 KTS THIS EVENING THROUGH
09Z OR SO.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
EQUIPMENT
NOAA WEATHER RADIO STATION WXM-44, TRANSMITTING FROM MT.
ASCUTNEY, VERMONT, ON FREQUENCY 162.475 MHZ IS NON- OPERATIONAL
AT THIS TIME. NWS TECHNICIANS HAVE DIAGNOSED THE PROBLEM, BUT
REPAIRS WILL LIKELY NOT BE ABLE TO OCCUR FOR QUITE SOME TIME DUE
TO CIRCUMSTANCES BEYOND OUR CONTROL. THEREFORE, THE TIME OF
RETURN TO SERVICE IS CURRENTLY UNKNOWN. THE FOLLOWING NOAA
WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS MAY BE ABLE TO PROVIDE SERVICE DURING
THIS OUTAGE: WWG 50 FROM BURKE MTN, VT AT 162.425 MHZ AND WNG
546 FROM HANOVER, NH AT 162.525 MHZ.
THE COLCHESTER REEF METEOROLOGICAL STATION IS OUT OF SERVICE.
THIS SITE IS NOT SERVICED BY THE NWS AND THERE ISN'T AN
ESTIMATED RETURN TO SERVICE AT PRESENT. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN
NAVIGATING THE BROAD WATERS OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN. PLEASE CONTACT US
IF YOU OBSERVE WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY DEVIATING FROM THE
RECREATIONAL FORECAST.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
VTZ001>011-016>021.
NY...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ026>028-035-087.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ029>031-034.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MYSKOWSKI
DISCUSSION...NEILES/MYSKOWSKI
AVIATION...NEILES
EQUIPMENT...NWS BTV
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