577
FXUS61 KBTV 310618
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
118 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AS OF 116 AM EST SATURDAY...
RAISED TEMPERATURES TONIGHT DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER SO IT
IS INCREASINGLY LIKELY COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL NOT BE
REACHED AND THE ADVISORY WILL BE ENDED EARLY.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 116 AM EST SATURDAY...
1. COLD TEMPERATURES AND A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
2. QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 116 AM EST SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1: LARGE SCALE TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT THERE WILL BE NO SIGNIFICANT STORM
SYSTEMS. THE NOR'EASTER WILL STAY WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST,
SO NO SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE REGION FROM IT. ITS ONLY EFFECTS
LOOK TO BE INCREASED NORTHERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY AND A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE TYPICAL
HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY. ANY LOW CLOUDS
WILL CAUSE SATURATION IN THE DGZ SINCE IT IS COLD ENOUGH TO BE
RIGHT ABOVE THE SURFACE, SO ANY TIMES THESE CLOUDS ARE AROUND,
FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE. DUE TO A RELATIVELY STATIONARY
PATTERN, THE AIR WAS ABLE TO WRAP AROUND OFF THE LABRADOR SEA
AND OTHER PARTS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND DOWN INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH. THE MARINE MOISTURE IS THE CULPRIT FOR THE
CLOUDS, AND IT IS EASILY TRACED BACK ON SATELLITE. THIS FLOW IS
ALSO CAUSING WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH, SO THIS
MOISTURE AND SLIGHT WARMING IS HELPING ENHANCE THE CLOUDS, AND
THEY ARE STUCK BELOW A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION, SO THEY LOOK TO
STICK AROUND FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND FOR MANY AREAS. WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE COLD SIDE, THERE WILL BE
A WARMING TREND, AND AS THINGS STAND, COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
DOES NOT LOOK TO BE REACHED AGAIN.
KEY MESSAGE 2: PRETTY QUIET WEATHER WEEK LIES AHEAD OF US FOR NEXT
WEEK. FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
AREA WILL MEAN SOME CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TOWARDS THE END
OF NEXT WEEK, LOOKS LIKE WE COULD HAVE A MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEM MOVE
THROUGH ON FRIDAY. THIS FAR OUT THERE HAS NOT BEEN A LOT OF
CONTINUITY AT ALL.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...MAINLY A MIX OF BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR CEILINGS WITH
LIGHT WINDS LESS THAN 10 KTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OUTSIDE OF A
FEW MOUNTAIN FLURRIES, NO PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO
VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: VFR. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL MVFR POSSIBLE. NO SIG WX.
EQUIPMENT
NOAA WEATHER RADIO STATION WXM-44, TRANSMITTING FROM MT.
ASCUTNEY, VERMONT, ON FREQUENCY 162.475 MHZ IS NON- OPERATIONAL
AT THIS TIME. NWS TECHNICIANS HAVE DIAGNOSED THE PROBLEM, BUT
REPAIRS WILL LIKELY NOT BE ABLE TO OCCUR FOR QUITE SOME TIME DUE
TO CIRCUMSTANCES BEYOND OUR CONTROL. THEREFORE, THE TIME OF
RETURN TO SERVICE IS CURRENTLY UNKNOWN. THE FOLLOWING NOAA
WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS MAY BE ABLE TO PROVIDE SERVICE DURING
THIS OUTAGE: WWG 50 FROM BURKE MTN, VT AT 162.425 MHZ AND WNG
546 FROM HANOVER, NH AT 162.525 MHZ.
THE COLCHESTER REEF METEOROLOGICAL STATION IS OUT OF SERVICE.
THIS SITE IS NOT SERVICED BY THE NWS AND THERE ISN'T AN
ESTIMATED RETURN TO SERVICE AT PRESENT. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN
NAVIGATING THE BROAD WATERS OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN. PLEASE CONTACT US
IF YOU OBSERVE WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY DEVIATING FROM THE
RECREATIONAL FORECAST.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR VTZ010-
020-021.
NY...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ029>031-034.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...MYSKOWSKI
DISCUSSION...NEILES/MYSKOWSKI
AVIATION...NEILES
EQUIPMENT...NWS BTV
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