816
FWUS41 KBTV 141111
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
710 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 85 80 70 65 55 25 40 35 45 35
TEMPERATURE 43 43 45 45 45 46 45 44 42 45 52 55 51 46 42 40 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 42 55 40
WIND DIR E SE SE E E NE E E E E E E SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 4 4 4 4 8 8 6 5 5 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 90 100 100 100 70 50 30 10 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.34 0.48 0.36 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.82 0.49 0.04 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.29 0.02 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.93 0.59 0.10 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK FW FW FW SC SC BK SC SC BK BK BK OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 40 55 55 25 10 15 30 35 55 35 40 65 60 65 75 75 60
TEMPERATURE 59 59 51 48 58 57 44 43 59 59 52 52 68 67 59 56 64 62
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 48 60 40 63 48 73 54 68
WIND DIR SW S SW W NW NW N NE SW S S S SW W SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 12 11 9 13 13 8 4 3 9 16 11 13 13 14 13 12 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 30 30 20 0 0 0 5 10 20 20 40 40 50 70 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 100 100 95 90 95 80 60 50 70 60 50 55 45 20
TEMPERATURE 38 38 38 39 39 40 41 41 41 41 43 44 42 40 39 38 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 39 44 38
WIND DIR S S NE NE NE NE E E E E E SW W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 8 4 4 10 12 23 24 21 20 20 5 2 8 10 10 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 70 100 100 90 80 60 30 10 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.29 0.30 0.14 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.38 0.44 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.30 0.05 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.83 0.53 0.12 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 50 60 50 20 10 20 30 35 35 45 40 50 45 65 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 55 53 48 51 56 54 42 45 59 57 50 56 66 64 56 58 61 59
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 48 57 39 62 49 70 55 65
WIND DIR SW SW W W W NW N SE S S S SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 19 21 21 21 24 8 5 3 10 5 9 20 14 11 9 10 12 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 32 26 31 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 10 20 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 95 100 95 85 90 75 55 50 60 55 50 55 40 20
TEMPERATURE 40 42 42 43 43 43 42 42 41 44 48 49 46 43 41 40 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 40 50 40
WIND DIR S SE NE NE NE NE E E E E E W SW SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 2 2 4 10 13 18 18 18 18 14 4 2 8 12 13 19 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 60 90 100 90 70 60 30 10 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.28 0.27 0.10 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.35 0.37 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.25 0.04 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.74 0.44 0.10 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 45 60 50 20 10 20 30 35 35 40 35 50 40 60 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 61 57 49 51 60 57 44 46 64 61 52 57 71 67 57 59 66 62
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 48 61 41 67 51 75 56 69
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW N E S S S SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 9 9 11 4 2 1 5 4 5 9 12 8 6 8 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 10 30 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 85 100 100 95 95 95 90 55 60 60 60 45 50 40 20
TEMPERATURE 40 41 41 42 43 44 43 43 42 44 47 47 46 43 42 41 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 41 48 41
WIND DIR S SE NE NE NE E E E E E E SW W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 5 3 5 9 12 23 25 19 18 16 4 2 9 12 12 19 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 60 90 100 100 80 60 30 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.25 0.35 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.51 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.25 0.03 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.75 0.61 0.08 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 45 55 50 20 10 20 35 40 40 40 50 55 45 55 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 64 59 50 53 61 58 44 47 64 61 53 59 72 68 59 60 66 62
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 49 61 41 67 51 77 56 70
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW NW E S S S SW SW W SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 14 19 19 17 17 10 5 4 6 8 13 17 19 18 16 16 16 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 20 30 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC OV BK SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 100 100 95 95 95 85 65 50 75 65 40 50 40 20
TEMPERATURE 41 41 42 42 42 43 43 43 42 44 47 48 46 43 42 41 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 41 49 41
WIND DIR SE E N NE NE NE E E E E E S W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 5 1 8 8 11 21 21 18 13 11 4 3 6 12 13 17 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 100 100 100 80 70 30 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.32 0.34 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.43 0.50 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.27 0.04 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.84 0.60 0.08 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 40 60 50 20 5 20 30 35 30 40 35 45 40 60 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 61 57 49 52 61 57 45 47 62 61 53 57 70 68 58 60 65 62
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 49 62 42 65 51 75 57 69
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW NW E S S SW SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 13 16 14 13 16 6 4 2 6 4 8 14 13 10 8 8 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 27
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 5 20 10 20 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 100 100 95 90 95 80 60 50 70 60 50 60 45 20
TEMPERATURE 39 39 40 41 41 41 41 41 41 42 45 46 44 41 40 39 44
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 40 47 39
WIND DIR S S NE NE NE NE E E E E E W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 6 4 3 9 12 21 23 23 21 21 4 2 8 12 13 19 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 70 100 100 90 80 60 30 10 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.29 0.29 0.13 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.38 0.42 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.30 0.05 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.84 0.50 0.12 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK BK FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 50 65 50 20 10 20 35 40 40 50 40 55 45 65 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 58 54 49 51 58 55 42 45 61 59 51 56 68 65 56 58 63 60
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 48 59 40 64 50 72 56 66
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW N SE S S S SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 12 11 11 11 14 8 6 4 8 8 9 11 14 12 10 10 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 10 30 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 05/14/26 FRIDAY 05/15/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC OV BK SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 95 100 100 95 95 95 80 60 50 75 60 45 50 40 15
TEMPERATURE 42 44 45 45 45 44 44 43 43 46 52 54 49 45 42 40 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 42 54 40
WIND DIR E NE NE N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 1 1 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 2 0 2 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 70 100 100 90 80 70 30 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.31 0.32 0.14 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.46 0.02 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.27 0.04 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.85 0.55 0.09 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
DATE SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW SC BK SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 40 60 45 20 10 20 30 35 35 45 35 45 40 65 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 63 59 50 53 63 58 45 46 64 62 52 56 71 68 58 59 67 63
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 49 64 42 67 51 76 56 71
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W NW NW E S S SW SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 5 10 2 1 1 4 1 2 4 10 4 3 4 9 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 5 5 0 0 0 10 10 5 20 10 20 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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