040
FWUS41 KBTV 150625
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
224 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW BK OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 70 55 40 45 45 30 10 20 20 55 80 70 65 55 35
TEMPERATURE 43 45 49 52 50 47 45 43 45 51 59 61 59 58 55 51 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 43 62 50
WIND DIR E E E N W SW W W W SW SW S SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 12 9 6 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 13 16 16 18 14 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 20 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.01 0.01 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK OV BK BK OV OV BK BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 20 30 55 45 20 40 55 70 65 65 75 85 65 65 60 40 35
TEMPERATURE 59 53 44 46 64 65 60 58 68 67 60 58 63 62 51 43 49 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 42 68 55 72 56 67 43 53
WIND DIR NW NW SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 9 2 4 10 21 20 17 13 17 16 17 16 21 19 23 18 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 5 10 20 30 60 50 50 60 70 40 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW SC BK OV BK OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 80 65 55 65 40 35 10 20 25 60 90 70 75 60 45
TEMPERATURE 40 41 42 44 43 42 41 41 43 48 51 53 51 50 50 48 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 41 53 47
WIND DIR E NE NE N W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 21 13 8 5 9 13 19 21 25 21 21 29 41 36 28 34 33
WIND GUST (MPH) 55 48 51 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 40 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.02 0.01 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 35 55 40 20 40 55 60 55 55 65 70 65 70 55 30 35
TEMPERATURE 50 51 41 47 64 63 56 59 65 63 57 57 58 56 46 42 46 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 40 67 55 68 56 61 42 49
WIND DIR W NW SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 20 13 6 10 20 11 11 11 14 12 11 13 14 16 13 12 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 28 29 35 33 32 32 36 36 33 29 29 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 10 30 40 40 30 50 60 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV BK SC SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 70 65 75 70 35 25 10 20 25 60 90 70 80 60 45
TEMPERATURE 42 44 47 49 47 44 43 42 45 51 56 57 54 53 51 50 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 42 57 48
WIND DIR NE NE NE N W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 18 11 5 3 8 10 14 18 20 14 18 23 31 29 24 28 25
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 30 40 20 5 0 0 0 0 5 20 40 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.14 0.02 0.02 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 20 35 55 40 15 35 55 60 60 55 70 75 65 70 55 30 35
TEMPERATURE 55 55 43 49 69 67 58 61 71 67 59 60 64 59 47 44 52 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 42 71 57 73 57 65 42 54
WIND DIR W NW SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 17 4 1 4 10 8 8 9 12 9 9 10 11 12 10 10 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 28
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 10 30 40 40 40 50 60 30 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV BK SC SC FW FW SC BK OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 80 60 55 75 50 30 25 15 25 30 55 90 65 65 60 40
TEMPERATURE 42 43 46 48 46 45 44 44 46 51 55 57 55 53 52 50 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 44 57 48
WIND DIR E E E N W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 18 12 5 3 8 13 20 23 25 21 20 26 37 35 29 33 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 30 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.02 0.02 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 35 60 40 15 30 55 60 55 55 65 70 65 70 55 35 40
TEMPERATURE 52 54 43 50 70 67 58 62 70 67 60 60 64 59 48 45 52 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 42 73 57 73 57 66 43 54
WIND DIR W NW S SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 19 10 4 5 14 17 19 19 19 20 20 20 19 24 21 19 16 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 5 10 40 40 30 30 40 60 20 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC BK SC SC FW FW FW BK OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 70 60 35 50 25 35 20 20 20 60 90 65 65 50 35
TEMPERATURE 42 44 48 49 48 47 45 44 47 54 58 58 55 55 52 52 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 44 59 50
WIND DIR NE NE NE N W W W W W SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 19 11 5 2 8 10 16 19 20 14 18 25 34 29 23 24 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 30 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 20 35 55 35 15 35 50 60 55 55 65 70 55 65 50 30 30
TEMPERATURE 57 56 44 49 68 67 58 61 70 68 60 60 64 60 49 45 51 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 43 71 57 73 58 67 44 54
WIND DIR W NW W S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 17 9 4 6 14 10 10 11 14 11 11 13 14 16 11 11 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 29 32 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 10 5 5 30 40 30 30 40 50 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV SC SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 75 65 70 75 45 35 10 20 25 65 90 70 80 60 45
TEMPERATURE 41 42 44 46 45 44 42 41 44 49 54 55 52 51 50 48 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 41 55 48
WIND DIR NE NE NE NW W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 19 12 8 4 8 11 17 19 21 17 19 26 36 32 26 31 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 40 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.02 0.02 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK OV BK OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 35 55 40 20 40 55 60 60 55 65 70 65 75 55 35 40
TEMPERATURE 52 53 42 48 66 64 56 59 67 64 57 58 60 57 46 43 48 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 41 68 55 70 56 63 42 51
WIND DIR W NW SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 18 8 4 6 12 12 11 12 16 13 12 13 16 16 14 13 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 10 30 40 40 30 50 60 30 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 05/15/26 SATURDAY 05/16/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK SC BK SC SC FW FW FW BK OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 65 60 40 60 30 35 10 20 25 60 85 65 70 55 35
TEMPERATURE 43 48 53 54 50 46 42 40 46 57 63 64 59 56 52 50 52
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 40 65 50
WIND DIR NE NE NE N W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 3 1 3 4 4 4 12 16 17 14 14 8 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 30 30 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
DATE SUN 05/17/26 MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 20 35 55 40 15 35 50 60 55 55 65 70 55 65 50 30 30
TEMPERATURE 63 58 44 49 70 68 58 61 72 69 60 61 66 62 49 45 53 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 43 72 57 75 58 68 44 56
WIND DIR W NW N S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 2 0 1 9 4 4 5 11 5 5 6 11 8 5 6 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 24 24 27
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 10 10 10 10 5 30 40 30 30 40 50 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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