374
FWUS41 KBTV 151830
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
229 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC CL SC OV OV OV SC FW SC FW SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 50 40 45 5 50 75 80 75 50 10 35 25 25 25 20
TEMPERATURE 49 46 46 44 45 51 59 60 58 58 56 52 51 51 55 57 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 62 49 58
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW S SW SW W W W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 5 6 6 10 10 10 14 18 21 18 19 23 16 17 16 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW BK SC FW SC SC OV BK BK OV OV BK SC SC BK SC SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 55 35 20 35 50 75 65 65 80 80 55 40 45 55 45 30 40 25 30
TEMPERATURE 43 44 63 65 59 57 69 67 61 56 61 59 48 41 47 47 40 39 48 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 67 55 71 55 64 41 49 38 51
WIND DIR E SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW W NW W SW
WIND (MPH) 2 4 9 18 19 16 12 16 14 16 12 18 17 19 14 14 6 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 20 5 10 30 60 50 40 70 70 30 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC FW FW FW SC BK OV OV SC FW SC FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 25 25 15 10 45 55 85 75 50 15 40 20 10 25 30
TEMPERATURE 41 41 38 38 43 52 57 57 54 53 51 48 49 53 54 55 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 59 48 56
WIND DIR NW NW W W W W SW SW SW W W NW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 13 16 16 21 24 20 29 42 51 42 52 67 49 40 34 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 50 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.10 0.12 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 65 35 15 35 55 60 55 55 70 65 50 50 55 50 45 40 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 40 46 63 63 55 59 66 64 57 57 57 55 43 41 44 43 36 39 46 45
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 66 55 71 55 62 40 49 36 51
WIND DIR N S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 6 10 19 9 10 10 13 11 11 12 12 13 11 11 10 8 4 4 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 26 35 32 32 32 34 35 33 29 27
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 0 5 30 40 30 20 60 50 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC FW CL SC BK OV OV BK FW SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 35 30 15 5 45 60 85 80 60 15 45 20 15 30 30
TEMPERATURE 45 43 40 39 45 55 61 62 57 54 52 49 50 57 60 58 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 63 48 60
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW S SW SW W NW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 4 5 5 17 20 20 26 36 41 34 40 47 32 28 16 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 50 50 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.11 0.11 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 65 35 15 30 55 60 55 55 75 70 50 45 50 50 45 35 25 30 35
TEMPERATURE 41 48 68 67 57 61 71 68 58 57 62 58 44 41 49 46 37 41 52 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 71 56 75 55 66 40 52 36 55
WIND DIR SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 1 4 10 6 6 8 11 8 8 9 10 10 8 9 8 4 2 2 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 27 27 25
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 20 0 5 30 40 40 30 60 50 10 5 5 10 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC FW FW FW SC OV OV OV BK FW BK FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 30 25 15 10 45 70 80 70 50 20 55 20 20 25 35
TEMPERATURE 44 42 41 41 47 57 63 62 58 56 53 51 51 57 59 58 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 65 49 60
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 6 12 16 16 23 28 20 24 41 55 43 52 55 37 36 27 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.02 0.12 0.10 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 65 30 20 35 55 60 55 55 70 60 55 50 55 55 45 35 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 42 48 69 67 60 63 72 69 60 59 63 59 46 42 49 47 39 42 52 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 73 57 75 55 66 40 51 37 54
WIND DIR S SE SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW W W W W W NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 3 5 12 13 17 17 17 19 19 19 17 23 18 17 12 11 8 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 0 5 30 40 30 30 50 40 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV FW FW FW FW SC SC OV BK SC FW SC FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 25 25 15 10 40 50 75 65 40 10 25 15 10 20 25
TEMPERATURE 45 44 40 40 46 55 61 62 58 56 54 50 52 57 59 60 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 63 50 61
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW SW W W NW W NW NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 9 11 12 19 17 17 23 40 52 37 50 36 26 24 21 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.07 0.09 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 65 35 10 30 50 60 50 50 70 60 45 45 45 45 40 35 25 30 30
TEMPERATURE 42 48 67 66 58 61 71 69 59 59 62 59 46 43 50 47 39 41 51 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 70 57 75 57 67 43 53 38 55
WIND DIR NW S S SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 4 5 13 9 9 10 12 10 10 11 12 13 9 10 8 5 3 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 29 28 29 32 26
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 0 5 30 40 30 20 50 40 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC FW FW SC BK OV OV BK FW SC FW FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 35 30 15 10 45 60 90 80 55 20 40 20 15 30 35
TEMPERATURE 43 41 38 38 44 53 58 59 55 54 51 48 50 54 56 57 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 60 48 58
WIND DIR NW W W W W W SW SW SW W W NW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 9 19 20 19 29 43 51 42 52 66 33 29 27 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 50 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.05 0.10 0.13 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 65 35 20 35 55 60 55 55 75 65 55 50 55 55 45 40 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 40 46 65 64 56 60 68 65 57 57 60 56 44 41 47 45 37 40 49 47
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 68 55 71 55 62 39 48 36 51
WIND DIR NE S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 4 6 12 10 10 10 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 12 11 9 5 5 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 32 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 0 5 30 40 30 30 60 50 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV BK FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV SC FW SC FW FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 20 25 15 10 40 45 75 70 40 10 30 15 10 20 25
TEMPERATURE 51 46 42 40 46 57 63 63 59 56 54 50 51 58 61 62 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 65 49 63
WIND DIR SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 1 2 3 4 8 11 12 14 16 17 11 13 16 14 13 11 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 50 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 65 35 15 30 50 60 50 55 70 65 45 45 50 45 40 40 25 30 30
TEMPERATURE 43 48 68 68 58 60 73 70 59 58 64 60 46 43 52 49 39 42 53 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 71 56 78 57 70 42 55 38 58
WIND DIR N S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 0 1 9 3 4 4 9 5 4 6 9 6 3 5 5 2 1 1 3 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 24 23 26 20
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 20 0 5 30 40 30 20 50 50 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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