801
FWUS41 KBTV 160808
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
405 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER SC CL SC OV OV OV BK FW FW FW SC FW FW SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 5 50 75 75 75 60 10 15 15 30 20 10 30 25 35 50
TEMPERATURE 46 52 59 61 59 58 56 53 51 52 57 56 52 47 43 41 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 50 59 41
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 11 12 16 16 17 14 12 14 17 17 16 9 4 2 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.05 0.27 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 40 55 80 65 65 80 75 50 65 65 60 45 30 35 40 35
TEMPERATURE 65 67 60 58 70 68 62 57 63 60 48 40 45 45 38 38 48 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 56 72 57 65 39 47 36 50
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 14 14 13 12 19 19 20 18 25 24 24 17 18 8 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 20 30 70 50 50 70 60 20 10 5 5 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK OV SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 45 55 65 85 45 20 10 20 35 10 30 25 35 50 55
TEMPERATURE 44 53 57 58 54 52 51 48 50 54 55 55 50 44 41 40 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 48 57 40
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 16 19 25 31 28 28 27 23 23 25 32 28 12 9 5 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 40 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.21 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 40 55 60 55 65 75 55 55 70 65 50 45 45 25 35 35
TEMPERATURE 63 63 57 62 67 65 58 58 58 55 42 39 42 41 34 38 45 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 66 56 68 56 63 39 47 34 51
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W SW SW W W W W NW NW NW N N NW E
WIND (MPH) 19 21 24 25 29 14 14 16 14 18 14 13 10 10 5 5 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 35 39 36 37 39 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 40 40 30 30 40 30 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER SC CL SC BK OV OV BK FW FW FW SC FW SC FW SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 5 45 60 75 80 55 20 20 20 35 10 25 25 35 40 55
TEMPERATURE 45 56 61 62 57 54 52 49 50 57 60 60 53 46 43 41 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 48 62 41
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 6 9 16 18 12 11 11 9 9 11 20 12 4 2 1 2 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 34 32 29 29 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 40 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.20 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 40 60 60 55 60 70 55 50 65 60 50 45 40 25 35 30
TEMPERATURE 68 66 58 62 71 68 59 58 62 58 43 40 48 45 36 40 52 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 57 72 56 66 39 51 36 55
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW N W E
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 10 14 11 11 12 12 14 12 10 9 6 3 3 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 31
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 40 40 30 30 50 40 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC OV OV OV BK FW SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 45 70 75 75 65 20 25 20 15 30 35 30 30 50 65
TEMPERATURE 48 58 63 63 58 56 54 51 52 59 60 58 53 46 42 42 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 49 62 41
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW W S S SE
WIND (MPH) 16 16 19 23 23 26 23 18 19 18 26 21 9 4 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 30 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.22 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 15 30 60 60 55 65 75 60 55 70 65 55 45 35 30 40 35
TEMPERATURE 69 67 61 65 72 69 61 60 63 58 45 41 47 46 37 41 51 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 59 73 57 66 39 49 35 54
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW W N NW SE
WIND (MPH) 13 18 21 23 21 24 25 24 19 26 21 19 13 14 8 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 40 30 30 40 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC BK OV SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 10 40 50 65 70 40 15 15 20 25 5 25 30 35 50 55
TEMPERATURE 46 56 62 62 58 56 54 51 52 58 61 60 54 47 43 42 51
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 50 62 42
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 11 13 18 23 21 21 18 14 14 17 20 18 9 6 3 3 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 35 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.17 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK BK SC SC SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 40 55 60 50 65 70 55 45 65 60 50 40 40 25 35 30
TEMPERATURE 68 66 60 63 71 69 61 60 63 59 45 41 48 46 37 41 50 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 58 73 59 68 41 52 37 55
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W SW W SW W W W NW NW NW NW N NW SE
WIND (MPH) 13 16 18 18 20 13 16 16 16 18 13 12 9 8 4 4 6 4
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 36 33 33 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 40 30 20 40 30 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV BK FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 45 60 70 85 55 20 15 25 35 10 30 25 35 50 55
TEMPERATURE 44 54 59 60 55 53 52 48 50 55 57 57 51 45 41 41 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 48 59 40
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 11 17 21 16 16 14 12 12 13 21 20 8 5 3 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 39 37 35 36 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 40 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.22 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 40 55 60 55 65 75 60 55 70 65 55 50 45 25 40 35
TEMPERATURE 65 64 58 61 69 66 59 58 60 56 42 39 45 43 35 39 48 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 56 69 56 62 38 47 34 50
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W SW SW W W W W NW NW NW N NE NW E
WIND (MPH) 12 12 12 13 17 14 14 14 16 18 14 13 11 11 6 6 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 33 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 40 40 30 30 40 30 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/16/26 SUNDAY 05/17/26
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC BK OV SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 10 40 45 65 80 30 15 10 20 25 5 25 25 35 45 50
TEMPERATURE 46 57 63 64 59 56 54 50 52 59 62 62 55 48 44 42 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 50 64 42
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W NW NW NW N N S
WIND (MPH) 4 8 12 13 9 9 8 5 5 10 11 10 2 1 0 0 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 27 23
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 40 30 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.06 0.18 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DATE MON 05/18/26 TUE 05/19/26 WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK SC SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 40 55 60 55 65 70 55 50 65 60 50 40 40 25 35 30
TEMPERATURE 68 67 59 64 74 70 61 59 65 60 45 42 50 47 37 41 52 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 57 75 58 70 41 55 36 57
WIND DIR S SW SW SW W SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW N NW SE
WIND (MPH) 9 5 6 8 12 8 8 10 11 10 6 6 6 3 1 1 4 1
WIND GUST (MPH) 27 31 27 28 29
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 30 40 30 20 40 30 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page