104  
FNUS51 KBUF 191434  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
933 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTH FROM QUEBEC WILL MAINTAIN  
FAIR DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE VAST MAJORITY OF OUR REGION TODAY, BUT A  
WARM FRONT LURKING OVER NORTHEAST OHIO COULD SUPPORT A SHOWER OR TWO  
FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  
CONDITIONS WILL THEN SIGNIFICANTLY DETERIORATE LATER WEDNESDAY  
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, AS A LARGE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL  
SLOWLY PUSH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL RESULT  
IN A SOAKING RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THEN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF  
MISERABLE WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND THAT WILL INCLUDE A MIX OF RAIN  
AND WET SNOW. THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON WILL BE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  
 
NYZ201-192100-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
933 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 36 58  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 51 100 55  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 3350 3160  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) E 10 E 10 SE 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33500 0 25280  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 0 25  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
 
NYZ200-192100-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
933 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 55 42 59  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND (MPH) SE 5 SE 5 S 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 PM  
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 45 100 67  
HAINES INDEX 4 2 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 2780 3740  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 9 SE 10 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25020 0 41140  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 0 41  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST  
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
THURSDAY  
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
FRIDAY  
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S.    
SATURDAY  
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.  
 
WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
 
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