722
FNUS51 KBUF 192033
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
333 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
DISCUSSION
WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER QUEBEC AND EXTENDING SOUTH INTO
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER
ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK INTO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, A WARM FRONT LYING OVER NORTHEAST OHIO WILL
SUPPORT A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL THEN DETERIORATE LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE NEXT THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
DUE TO A LARGE COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM CRAWLING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
INTO NEW ENGLAND. AFTER A SOAKING RAIN, WEDNESDAY NIGHT, A CHANCE OF
A MIX OF RAIN AND WET SNOW WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE FIRST
ACCUMULATING SNOW OF THE SEASON (ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN) WILL BE POSSIBLE.
NYZ201-200900-
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-
333 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 80 80
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 57 35 45
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR E 6 SE 8 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.27
PRECIP DURATION 12 12
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 52 100 62
HAINES INDEX 3 3 2 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 3160 5620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 10 S 15 NW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31600 0 33720
DISPERSION INDEX 32 0 34
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ200-200900-
SOUTHERN TIER-
333 PM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 50 90 70
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 58 31 44
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 S 9 W 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.04 0.45 0.08
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 12 6
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 64 100 57
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4060 6840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 12 SW 14 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48720 0 68400
DISPERSION INDEX 49 0 68
REMARKS...NONE.
EXTENDED FORECAST
THURSDAY NIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
FRIDAY
RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SATURDAY
RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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