004
FNUS71 KBUF 161139
FWSBUF
SPOT FORECAST FOR AHOUSE SOUTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
739 AM EDT WED APR 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT TODAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
TAPERING OFF, BUT IT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SUNSHINE AND LESS CHILLY WEATHER WILL
ACCOMPANY HIGH PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19
MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 20 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 32 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 115 (VERY GOOD).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 98 96 95 91 88 85
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........SW SW SW SW SW SW RS SW RS RS
TSTM COV............
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50 50 50 40 40 30 20 20 20 20
TEMP................32 32 33 34 34 36 37 36 37 37
RH..................75 75 75 72 72 64 61 64 64 67
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD......20 20 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 21
20 FT WIND GUST.....23 24 25 25 26 26 26 26 25 25
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
EYE LVL WND GST.....17 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....26 29 31 32 32 32 31 31 30 30
DISPERSION IDX......51 70 92 106 112 115 108 105 99 91
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18
MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 10 (POOR).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84 84 84 81 79 77 73 70 66 52 37 23
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW RS SW SW
TSTM COV............
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP................38 37 36 35 36 36 35 34 33 32 31 31
RH..................64 70 72 75 72 72 72 72 72 72 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD......20 18 17 16 15 14 14 13 13 13 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....23 21 19 18 18 17 17 17 19 14 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....12 11 11 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
EYE LVL WND GST.....17 16 14 14 13 13 13 13 14 11 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 28 26 25 23 22 21 18 17 16 15 14
DISPERSION IDX......78 65 53 46 40 36 29 21 17 13 10 10
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 70 (GOOD).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............17 12 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP................31 32 33 35 38 41 44 46 48 49 50 50
RH..................75 72 69 64 54 48 41 38 35 34 34 34
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 15 16 18 20 21 21 20 18 18 18 17
DISPERSION IDX......12 18 25 38 51 63 70 70 67 69 69 59
FORECASTER...RSH
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510158.1/BUF
.DELDT 04/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV
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