846  
FNUS71 KBUF 161140  
FWSBUF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUGUE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
740 AM EDT WED APR 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT TODAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS  
TAPERING OFF, BUT IT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY IN  
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SUNSHINE AND LESS CHILLY WEATHER WILL  
ACCOMPANY HIGH PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 31 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 98 96 94 91 88 85  
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE........SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 50 50 40 40 30 20 20 20 20  
TEMP................32 31 33 34 34 35 36 36 36 36  
RH..................72 75 72 72 69 66 64 64 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD......18 18 20 20 21 22 22 22 22 21  
20 FT WIND GUST.....23 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....24 26 29 30 31 31 31 31 31 30  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............84 83 81 79 77 74 71 67 63 50 37 23  
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE........SW RS SW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................36 37 36 35 35 35 34 33 32 31 30 30  
RH..................69 67 72 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD......20 17 16 15 15 15 15 14 14 13 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.....23 21 19 18 18 18 17 17 19 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 2.5 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 26 25 24 23 22 21 18 17 16 15 14  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............18 12 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................30 31 32 35 38 41 44 46 48 49 50 50  
RH..................78 75 72 61 52 46 39 37 34 33 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR......W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.....13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 14 15 17 20 21 20 18 17 17 18 17  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...RSH  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2509676.3/BUF  
.DELDT 04/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page Main Text Page