084  
FNUS71 KBUF 161944  
FWSBUF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AHOUSE WEST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
344 PM EDT WED APR 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEPART ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT, WITH  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.  
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY DURING THE DAY DUE TO WARMING  
TEMPERATURES AND A RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON  
VALUES AROUND 30 PERCENT BETWEEN 3 AND 5 P.M. SUNNY SKIES DURING  
THE DAY THURSDAY.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............26 22 12 5 1 1 0 2 5 2  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................33 37 40 43 45 47 49 52 53 53  
RH..................69 59 50 45 40 38 34 31 31 31  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD......9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.....14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 16 16 17 17 17 17 16 15 13  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE  
IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 14  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............2 3 4 8 15 21 24 26 29 38 47 56  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................51 48 45 43 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 37  
RH..................34 40 47 51 57 62 64 67 67 67 69 64  
20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N NE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD......7 5 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.....10 7 6 6 6 6 7 10 10 11 12  
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW N N NE SE S M M S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 8 6 5 5 6 M M 10 12 13 14  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 30 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............61 67 59 63 68 72 71 69 68 62 56 50  
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 40  
TEMP................39 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 61 63 65 66  
RH..................59 55 55 56 56 54 53 49 48 48 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD......12 13 14 15 15 16 17 18 18 18 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.....13 14 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 16 17 18 20 22 24 26 29 30 30 29  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...APFFEL  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510739.0/BUF  
.DELDT 04/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GABRIEL.TEMPLETON@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV  
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