932  
FNUS71 KBUF 161947  
FWSBUF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AMAN NORTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
347 PM EDT WED APR 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEPART ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT, WITH  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.  
IT WILL REMAIN CLOUDY FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THERE'S  
ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES DURING THIS TIME.  
THE PROBABILITY OF THIS BEING MEASURABLE IS 20 PERCENT. CLEARING  
SKIES TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST, AND  
SUNNY SKIES WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES ON THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH.  
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 21 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 31 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 105 (VERY GOOD).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............88 88  
WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE........SW SW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20  
TEMP................38 38  
RH..................67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W  
20 FT WIND SPD......22 21  
20 FT WIND GUST.....26 26  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....13 13  
EYE LVL WND GST.....20 19  
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.9 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....31 30  
DISPERSION IDX......105 96  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH  
DECREASING TO 21 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31  
MPH DECREASING TO 21 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 13 (POOR).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).............86 88 87 87 85 81 77 73 73 57 54 41  
WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO SCT  
WEATHER TYPE........SW SW RW  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................37 37 37 36 36 35 35 35 34 34 32 32  
RH..................64 70 70 72 69 72 72 69 72 72 78 75  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD......20 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 14 13 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.....25 23 21 21 20 19 18 18 18 18 17 17  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W NW NW NW NW W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....12 11 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.....19 17 16 16 15 14 14 14 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....28 24 22 21 20 18 18 17 17 16 16 15  
DISPERSION IDX......74 50 34 25 22 19 18 18 18 15 14 13  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 66 (GOOD).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).............33 31 25 23 14 5 1 1 0 2 5 2  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........  
TSTM COV............  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP................32 30 32 36 39 42 44 47 49 51 52 52  
RH..................75 81 72 61 52 46 43 37 34 32 31 32  
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.....16 16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14 13 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.....7 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.....12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 15 15 16 18 20 20 20 18 17 17 15  
DISPERSION IDX......14 17 21 31 46 58 63 66 62 63 63 51  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...APFFEL  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY CONFAIR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510742.0/BUF  
.DELDT 04/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GABRIEL.TEMPLETON@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV,WESLEY.CONFAIR@USDA.GOV  
 
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